Ma Xiaolin: The dust of the US general election is gradually falling, it seems like it's over

2020One week after the end of the US presidential election, Democratic candidate Biden and Republican candidate Trump each announced their victory in the election. Although mainstream public opinion in the United States overwhelmingly judged that Trump had lost the White House, Trump did not withdraw from the battlefield and took various measures to try to reverse the tide. The US election experienced an extremely rare stalemate, and the confrontation between the two camps further deepened. The battle for the White House seemed to be over.

 

A week ago, all mainstream media in the United States, including Fox TV, which is considered a fan of Trump, collapsed and claimed that Biden had achieved270Elected by a show of votes46As President, Biden himself delivered a carefully worded victory speech. However, the Federal Bureau of General Services, which is responsible for the transfer of core powers, rejected the Biden team's request to initiate the transfer process, stating that the "winning result" has not yet been determined. Therefore, this election is more like a power struggle determined by the media and customary experience, based on statistics of state voter ownership that have not been recognized by the Trump team.

 

The announcement of the election results by the media, especially the authoritative Associated Press, has continued in the United States for nearly200Year and form a convention. In the past, when the overall situation of state elections became clear, the lagging party would admit defeat based on media statistics, admit defeat, and congratulate the opponent. Then, under the supervision of legal institutions, the power of the new and old presidential teams would be transferred, with one party gradually entering and the other gradually leaving, until1month20On the day of the inauguration, the current president stood on the last post and the incoming president took the oath of office and officially put on the battlefield.

 

This election not only saw the anti trend spectacle of the campaign side not accepting media judgments, but also an awkward and dangerous situation that the media had been very concerned about beforehand, that is, Trump refused to admit defeat in any case and used various legitimate powers70With the remaining administrative time, we will counterattack and attempt to overturn the voting results recognized by the media and the Democratic Party, proving that we are the ultimate winner.

 

So far, Trump has refused to acknowledge Biden's victory, accused the Democratic Party of cheating in the election, complained about the "theft" of the victory fruits, released a hotline to accept reports and collect evidence, and filed judicial lawsuits for recounting votes in multiple states. He has also refused to share with the "President designate" team the "Presidential Daily Briefing," which compiles the most important federal government intelligence. In a word, Biden attempted to visit the White House but kicked on the steel plate because Trump did not want to give up the White House or interact with the next president and team he did not want to buy into.

 

Before the election, the degree of social fragmentation in the United States was already very rare, and after the election, the top-down division and opposition in the United States became even more severe. In some areas, there was a dangerous trend of confrontation, verbal abuse, brawl, and even gun demonstrations between Democratic and Republican fans on the streets. The bottom level conflict between Biden and Trump's two major campaign teams has intensified, creating a situation of two power centers and even "two governments". The Biden team has begun a series of plans to take over the administrative power of the country, including opening the transitional official website and Twitter account of the President and Vice President, establishing the COVID-19 response team of scientists, publishing the list of the most urgent policy changes, and internally brewing senior candidates for the White House and government departments.

 

Trump's unwillingness to fail is mainly based on two factors: firstly, his personal character of refusing to give up, and secondly, the procedural dust of the US election has not completely settled. In theory, the Trump team still has a chance to overturn, although the chances of victory are slim.11month8According to a report by the Japan Associated Press, "The current election results are not the last step in choosing the President of the United States." There are still a few weeks left to decide who will laugh last, especially538The ultimate ownership of Zhang Xuan's group vote will be crucial.2021year1month6On the th, the US House and Senate will hold a joint meeting to count the electoral votes. At that time, the270Zhang or270Only with more than electoral votes can one determine who will be the future president.

 

2000In the US general election of, due to a vote counting dispute in Florida, the final court intervention was triggered, resulting in Democratic candidate Al Gore, who was previously believed to have won, losing to Republican George W. Bush. Prior to this year's election, the topic of replacing Supreme Court judges in the United States was unprecedentedly heated, due to concerns that Trump would build a more favorable Republican judicial backup and ultimately rely on litigation to defend the White House. Although the probability of turning over through litigation is still very low, it cannot be concluded early.

 

Generally speaking, the President of the United States who enters the election year is known as the "lame duck" and it is difficult to effectively issue and implement significant administrative measures. However, Trump was different. Before the election, he was very active and fully exercised the presidential diplomatic privileges. After the election, there were various twists and turns, even replacing the less obedient Defense Minister Espa. This move has raised concerns among analysts whether Trump is going to risk all his life launching military operations against the outside world, dressing himself up as a wartime president, and even putting the entire United States under a state of emergency

 

In short, the US election is already halfway through, but how will it end? Is there still“11Moon Surprise "and even“12May I take a look again.