8.27周评：黄金中长线看多，原油继续走震荡

　　顺势时，市场造就你，逆势时，是市场教育你，不管怎么样，不要难过，市场的波动总有一段你看不懂，总有一波你可以赚，你觉得今天没赚钱，明天也就一直缩水吗？你觉得今天抓不到的行情，永远都擦肩而过吗?一天有早晚，早晚有一天，没有得到想要的，即将得到更好的。

　　goldLatest news


　　美联储主席耶伦在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上并未提及货币政策，主要就金融监管发表讲话，令市场对耶伦可能“放鹰”的期望落空，美元大跌。随后欧洲央行行长德拉基发表讲话也并未提及货币政策，也未打压欧元，而是聚焦在诸如全球经济复苏稳健等其他方面，被市场解读为偏向乐观。欧元/The US dollar has surged over1%Up to the highest level of two years. The US dollar further fell to a low point in over a year.


　　Gold Market Review


　　黄金在上周五刺破1300After the checkpoint, adjustments will be made this week. This week mainly revolves around Monday's high point1293.5And low points1280Conduct a consolidation of the convergence triangle oscillation, and as the oscillation range narrows, the amplitude of the oscillation also decreases. The market's attention is focused on the global central bank meeting at the end of the week and the speeches of Yellen and Draghi. The market on Friday was indeed as strong as expected, but the result was unexpected. Continuously sideways in the white market1285Near the top, it has risen strongly to1294On the front line, the surge is blocked and quickly drops1276Frontline, bottoming out and rebounding, once again standing firm1290At the critical juncture, there was a volatile ending. End the week with a roller coaster like market trend.

Analysis of Gold Technology


　　从技术面看黄金目前日线布林带依旧上行状态，行情运行于布林带中、上轨之间，不过附图MACDIndicator red energy column shrinkage,stoThe second dead cross of the indicator continues to strike, keep an eye on it at all times10Daily moving average1285The situation of breaking the position; Current gold price4When looking at the chart, the high point keeps moving downwards, the support below keeps rising, and the oscillation range gradually narrows. In addition, there are signs of contraction in the Bollinger Bands, as shown in the attached imageMACDThe dead cross of the indicator is down, and the green energy column is increasing in volume. The decline will not be significant at the beginning of next week. The battle between long and short will depend on whether the range can be broken. Personally, I am more optimistic about the pullback and rise of gold. From the overall structure, gold is still in a bullish trend. Support below and look towards1283-1280Region, key support1273Resistance1295-1298Region. From the perspective of both news and technology, the bullish trend of gold will continue next week, and it is recommended to invest in long positions after a pullback in operations.


　　黄金下周初操作建议


Strategy1Market downturn1287Multiple orders nearby, stop loss4Points, target1294First line, breaking through and holding


Strategy2Market rebound1295Do not break short orders, stop loss4Points, target1288First line, breaking through and holding


Strategy3Breaking through the market level1288, falling back1282Multiple orders nearby, stop loss4Points, target1288frontline


　　crude oilLatest news


Saturday Beijing Time（8month26In the early morning of the day1Point, Baker Hughes, an American oil service company(Baker Hughes)Data released shows that the United States8month25The total number of oil drilling in the current week has decreased4Seat, declining for two consecutive weeks due to Hurricane Harvey（Harvey）Coming soon. in the past32Mid week27Zhou increased. In addition, due to the sustained low global oil prices, the pace of the over year long cycle of increasing oil drilling platforms has temporarily slowed down. After the data was released, the short-term reaction of global oil prices was flat.


　　原油行情回顾


　　美原油本周整体震荡走低，EIACrude oil inventories have continued to decline, and gasoline and Cushing inventories have both recorded declines, boosting oil prices. At the same time, there has been a decrease in oil drilling, and hurricane weather has suppressed production, which is favorable for oil prices. However, there are doubts in the market about the relief of oversupply, putting pressure on oil prices. At the same time, the continuous decline in crude oil inventories still needs further verification. Oil prices are under pressure, falling below48The US dollar level is under pressure47The US dollar fluctuated and consolidated within the range.


Technical analysis of crude oil


　　技术面看原油昨日多次试图冲破47.90The pressure levels are all suppressed by bears, and the hourly moving averages are intertwined, making it difficult to break away from the consolidation trend in the short term. On Friday evening, crude oil continued its volatile trend unchanged, but the fluctuation range was slightly relaxed, and oil prices remained stable47.40-90Fluctuated back and forth within the range, the hourly Bollinger Bands gradually closed,MA5AndMA60There are also signs of a triangular closure, and overnight oil prices have been tested multiple timesMA60The pressure level did not break through, and the end of the day closed near the intraday high. The four hour level Bollinger Bands are running with an open mouth,KThe line runs in the middle of the Bollinger Bands,MACDThe double lines aggregate below the zero axis with signs of a golden cross, and the green energy column shrinks,KDJTurn upwards on the third line. Overall, crude oil has returned to calm again, and the cyclical oscillation trend is still continuing. What needs to be paid attention to in early next week's operations is the following47Even at the checkpoint46.80The effective breakthrough situation on the front line, while above48.50The breakthrough situation is also worth investigating, and it is more stable to focus on these two important positions in the short term to layout high-altitude, low, and long orders.

　　Suggestions for crude oil operations at the beginning of next week


Strategy1Rebound to a high level48.0Short orders nearby, stop loss0.4, Objective47.4First line, breaking through and holding


Strategy2Pull back to the low position47.3Multiple orders nearby, stop loss0.4, Objective47.9frontline


　　走好人生的每一步棋，不要想着一夜暴富，而要把精力放在一个长远的规划上，稳中求进，这就是巴菲特的名言。要学会止损，不要做赔本的生意，人生无乐乐无常。没有不赚钱的投资，只有不成功的操作！是否盈利在于买涨买跌时机的把握。因此如何寻找所谓的现货的底部或者高位，同时把风险的规避到最小化才是重点。勿忘初心，方可披荆斩棘。


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