crude oil: 昨日是震荡回落走势,早间开盘于48.34一线,整个亚欧盘期间油价都处在48.30一线整理,欧盘上市前夕油价再次上冲48.40一线受阻开始下跌,小时级别布林带收口后在欧盘的回落走势下,又给出开口信号,上方5Daily moving average and10日均线死叉向下运行,回调没有到位,短周期原油还是看空思路,晚盘因为豁免减产协议的利比亚和尼日利亚原油产量分别升至18个月新高和4年新高,油价加速下跌,也打破了近期的震荡横盘走势,依托48.20的支撑失守之后瀑布式的下跌和周一的走法完全一样,后市还将继续走弱。
布林带三轨微幅朝下平行运行,5Daily moving average10日均线交金叉上行,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in Bolin5Above the daily moving average,MACD快线拐头向慢线聚拢欲有交金叉之势,绿色动能逐步缩量,随机指标三线交金叉向上发散运行,行情呈现多头趋势;从4小时图上来看,油价回吐空间较大,使得短线显弱,但介于近期的反复走法,强弱定夺还是看欧盘的延续。价格虽有弱势,但是美盘如果不下破47.0低点,仍有可能完成下探不破低,反抽收复失地的逆转行情。而从46.4开始的反弹趋势线已经确定了,高点不断在抬升,已经没有任何理由再去怀疑原油的趋势由空转多了。本周重点关注上方49.2Line resistance, below47一线强支撑。短线操作上关注上方48.5First line pressure, below47Frontline support.
8.24Suggestions for crude oil operation: 1Suggest using48.4-48.6Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.3Points, target47.8-47.4Near the US dollar; 2Suggest using47.0-47.2Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.3Points, target47.8-48.4Around the US dollar.