Feng Shi Cheng Jin:8.24新的波动将开始？黄金原油最新操作策略

preface:The market is volatile, but you cannot always be in a position of loss. Investing in a fishing net, whether you can gain something depends mainly on how you throw the net away. Be the protagonist in life, not a spectator in someone else's life. There are no choices that cannot be respected, no losses that cannot be tolerated, no songs that cannot be sung together, and no fleeting memories that cannot be let go. Don't let the fish swimming in front of you wander like this.








———————————gold信息行情分析 ——————————


Information aspect:8month24-26日，杰克逊霍尔央行年会在美国怀俄明州召开，今年杰克逊霍尔央行年会的主题是“如何培育全球动态经济”，全球央行官员、各国财长、经济学者和金融市场从业人士都有机会到场参会。投资者静待欧洲央行行长德拉基和美联储主席耶伦在年会上的讲话，以寻找利率和汇率方向线索。近期全球央行货币政策发生大转变，杰克逊霍尔年会一向被誉为货币政策拐点“晴雨表”，根据过往的经历，几乎每次会议都会有一些重要央行官员释放明确信号或讨论当下的核心危机，包括暗示加息/降息、新一轮量化宽松（QE）Wait.
伴随着特朗普扬言为修美墨边境墙筹资而不惜关闭政府，以及警告称有可能终结北美自由贸易协定的重新谈判，黄金逆转此前下行走势，并开始震荡上升，周三黄金futuresReport collection1294.7Increase0.3%。而根据过往行情走势，年会首日黄金市场基本都会有明显的异动，投资者可以提前做好布局。




技术面：昨日晚间美盘时段受地缘局势，阿富汗自杀性汽车爆炸事件影响，黄金一度走高1291，随后的金价走势一度徘徊在1288一线位置，从技术面的走势上来看，打开上升通道走势之后下调走势，同时在小时线上震荡于布林中轨上方，回调均线走势。黄金日线级别上，行情并没有延续下跌，日线收实体阳线，同时行情望进一步的上涨，扩大今天的实体阳线，昨日黄金开盘后，小幅向下回调后，行情一直处于阳线状态，到了晚间黄金大幅上涨一举涨到了1291，同时均线上黄金一直受到5Mean Square and10均线的支撑，只要黄金不破10均线，认为行情望继续冲高上涨。下方关注1284一线，上方1293frontline.








——————————  Gold Operation Suggestions -————————————


1、1294-1296Consider short selling and stop loss nearby3US dollars, look at the target1290-1284
2、leeyc168Consider going long and stopping losses nearby3US dollars, look at the target1286-1294
3、1280-1282Consider going long and stopping losses nearby3US dollars, look at the target1287-1295


文章具有滞后性，仅供参考。具体操作建议需根据个人情况给出！
Non actual clients of the author do not currently provide risk control strategies. Investment carries risks, and we hope everyone can take good measures to cut losses.






—————————  crude oil信息行情分析 ——————————




信息面：据美国能源信息署EIA官方统计，美国8month18日当周的商用原油库存减少332.7万桶，与预期的降幅345.80万桶基本持平，但小于前值的降幅894.50万桶。这一数据已连降八周，总库存至4.632Billion barrels, for2016year1月以来最低，并比3月峰值减少了7000多万桶。
分析师也注意到，9month4月美国劳动节过后，北美夏季驾驶高峰将宣告终结，更多的炼油厂商进入检修期。这一趋势从精炼厂设备利用率至少连续两周下滑可以看出，预计未来会增加成品油库存积压的状况。此外，委内瑞拉国家石油公司在10Month and11月面临35亿美元债务违约的风险，可能严重影响该国油产。另外，若美国政府退出伊朗限核协议并重新颁布制裁措施，也会减少该国的石油出口。




技术面：日线来看，油价目前处于震荡走势，暂时受阻布林中轨48.5USD,KDJ指标金叉运行中，不过鉴于MACD指标死叉仍然存在，均线的死叉也仍未被破坏，后市的油价必须站稳布林中轨支撑，打破震荡行情之后，多头力量才能起势，上方进一步阻力在48.83美元；四小时图来看，油价在布林中轨受到支撑，走出了三角形整理，MA5均线有上穿MA10均线迹象，MACD指标于零轴之上结成金叉，红色能量柱冒头，KDJ指标亦是金叉运行，趋势偏向于多头。综合来看，油价目前受到日线的布林中轨的压制，虽四小时有看多迹象，中线下行风险仍存。






——————————  原油操作建议————————————




1Above48.60-48.70Frontline empty orders entering, stop loss0.4美金，目标看至48-47.80frontline;


2Aboveleeyc168 Frontline multiple entry, stop loss0.4USD, target48.70upper;


3、47.80一线可继续布局多单进场，止损0.4美金，目标看至48.70upper;




文章具有滞后性，仅供参考。具体操作建议需根据个人情况给出！
Non actual clients of the author do not currently provide risk control strategies. Investment carries risks, and we hope everyone can take good measures to cut losses.






————— Message


Interpreting international economic news, analyzing global economic trends, tracking market dynamics, targeting global hotspots, analyzing unexpected events, and interpreting daily market trends, please stay tuned. Don't just seek profits, just steady profits. Develop good plans, grasp trends, and achieve long-term steady profits!Opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared.


Disclaimer: This article was written by the Fengshi team, and when reprinted, the source must be indicated. 2017/08/24   wechat：leeyc168