Xianjiang Lunjin:8.16晚评，黄金“黄昏之星”形态下下跌 ，晚间分析及操作策略！

    In life, I often see some investors who are either trapped or lose everything they have, and then regret and blame themselves. Either they have to endure the pain of liquidation and exit the market, or they keep replenishing their positions, but the end result is still a cycle of losses. I want to use my own expertise and experience to help those friends recover their losses. Seeing those investment friends who choose to believe and trust me regain their confidence, I am also very pleased!!!




Message surface:


    目前美朝局势虽已缓和，市场也随之作出了相应的调整，但短期内仍存在太多不稳定因素。朝鲜会不会再次“愣头青”的叫嚣，特朗普再会不会出来“搞事”，这两国的领导人着实让人不省心。虽然客观看来，两国之间的战争不像玩小孩子打架那样说打就打，他们自己也都懂杀敌一千，自损八百的道理，发起战争对谁都没有好处；并且朝鲜并不像伊拉克和伊朗那样好欺负，朝鲜方的“核”军事力量也让美方有所忌惮，所以两国之间最多只会存在“嘴炮”的互怼，而不会采取实质性的措施。时间风头过会一切又将恢复原有的平静，所以本周重点关注的应该是美联储的货币会议纪要。
   
    Early Thursday morning this week2点的会议纪要将给市场提供重要指引，会议将表明目前通胀疲软以及缩表的情况下，市场将如何安排加息的进程以及年内缩表情况。据统计，美国近5个月均表现通胀疲软，美联储预期年内第三次加息概率下调，原本12月份加息概率为60%，目前下调为55%；若接下来美国经济数据表现如往常良好，那年内加息的概率将会再次下调。所以笔者显江认为综合美国的经济数据来看，此次会议纪要延缓加息为大概率事件，对金价应该会有所提振。




goldMarket analysis:


     小时图来看，国际黄金依然偏空，亚盘反弹1273.94dollar依然受阻小时BOLL中轨的位置，MA均线拐头下探运行空头趋势，小时BOLL带有收口的迹象，小时附图指标MACD红色上涨动能逐渐衰减不足，RSI指标企稳走平运行趋势，KD指标形成死叉向下发散运行空头趋势，国际黄金触及1269.25美元小幅回升，KD指标触及20数值徘徊，4小时图来看，国际黄金连续5个周期的震荡波幅，依然承压MA均线向下运行空头趋势，下方关注1267美元的支撑位，4hourBOLLWith the trend of stabilizing and leveling operation,4Hourly attached indicatorsMACD蓝色下跌动能逐渐衰减不足，RSI指标徘徊数值30Location,KD指标粘合有死叉的迹象，日线国际黄金连续三日的跌势不断下探，整体趋势依然偏跌，显江觉得国际黄金日内关注区间1280-1260High selling and low slag operation.


Golden Operation Strategy:


    gold1280-1279Short selling, stop loss4美金，利润1272-1270；




crude oilMarket analysis:


　　原油本周初打破了前面的高位运行区间，最终跌至47一线。技术面上，原油分几次下破上方阻力位置，最后一层屏障47.8也被突破，进而打开了下方空间，目前价格在分水岭47.5上方修复运行，需要重点关注的位置无非47.5。日线上原油昨日收取一根长下影线的小阳柱，附图指标MACD绿色动能加强，MA5与布林中轨相交，使得油价受阻于48.4一线，由此可见，原油近期的下跌力度还是较为明显的，短期偏空头的趋势没错，上方阻力48.4, lower support46.8。日内重点关注的今晚的EIA原油库存数据，前值-645.1（万桶），预测值-300.29（万桶），若公布值大于-300.29，行情直线下跌；若公布值小于-645，行情直线上涨；若公布值在-645.1And-300.29之间，行情先涨后跌。


Crude oil operation strategy:


　　1Suggestions to touch upon48Short nearby, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target47.2-47.4First line, breaking through and holding


　　2Suggest a fallback46.8-47.0Short positions nearby, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target47.5frontline




今日重点关注消息面提醒：
　　 1、16:30britain7Monthly unemployment rate, UK7Monthly unemployment benefit applicants, UK6Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
　　 2、17:00euro区第二季度GDPAnnual rate correction value
　　 3、20:30U.S.A7Annualized total monthly construction of new homes, USA7Total monthly construction permits
　　 4、22:30From the United States to8month11Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock
　　 5The next day02:00Federal ReserveFOMCpublish7月货币会议纪要




    Message from Xianjiang:Those who often pay attention to my suggestions should understand the accuracy of my suggestions. Years of market analysis have created Xianjiang's keen insight into the market today. Perhaps Xianjiang's daily operational suggestions are not the most timely, but they are definitely the most accurate and stable! When many friends should short, they are afraid of rising, and when they should long, they are afraid of falling back. In fact, this is the human heart, this is the technology, and the human heart is the greatest technology. Sometimes you may agree that what really affects you is not the price, but too many things in your imagination. Xianjiang is willing to be your guide.


I only use my strength to speak-Teacher Xianjiang!


writing/On Jin by Xianjiang/Personal official online guidance for Weixin/Buckle:2738930443(Friends who set orders can consult me