Xianjiang Lunjin:8.16午评，黄金早间持续震荡，需关注1269and1276区间！

    In life, I often see some investors who are either trapped or lose everything they have, and then regret and blame themselves. Either they have to endure the pain of liquidation and exit the market, or they keep replenishing their positions, but the end result is still a cycle of losses. I want to use my own expertise and experience to help those friends recover their losses. Seeing those investment friends who choose to believe and trust me regain their confidence, I am also very pleased!!!




Message surface:


    Tuesday(8month15day)美朝间的局势进一步缓解，朝鲜发出声明表示会对美国“暂缓”报复，这让市场的避险情绪急速降温，并且这一声明很可能预示着朝鲜对美国的服软，朝鲜局势很可能以后会朝着预期的方向缓解。另一方面隔夜市场关注的零售销售数据公布，结果录得远超预期的结果，再次给gold带来了强劲的多头压力，黄金价格一度跌破1270dollar，不过在收盘前行情小幅反弹暂时回到1270上方，目前黄金处于较强的空头状态，想要进一步走出趋势，还需要盘整一段时间。


　　当下避险情绪带来的影响在经过两天的消化之后已经基本消失，而昨日的利空也未能给黄金带来进一步的打压，所以我们能够发现黄金正好在1270Stop the decline, but the current market lacks further upward momentum, so it is expected that the gold trend will remain at1267-1275The key to breaking the volatility lies in the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting in the early morning of tomorrow, so today gold is expected to experience a huge market wave before the close.




Gold market analysis:


　　周二，受美朝紧张局势趋于缓和影响，黄金延续了前一个交易日的震荡下跌走势，盘中几乎呈现单边回落，晚间美盘开始之后价格最低触及1267.20，随后行情有所反弹，日线收取本周第二根阴线，自上周五反弹高点1292下跌以来，短期跌幅已经超过了25美金，目前价格也已经无限逼近了日线布林通道中轨一线，如果今天多头仍然不能反戈一击，而是继续延续回落，那么日线级别三重顶和调整回落形态也基本上可以正式确认，所以说今天的走势非常关键，另外明天凌晨2点最新的美联储会议纪要又将重磅登场，是否再次加息也必将会指引金价再次走出方向的重要因素，目前虽然隔夜金价有所反弹，但短线指标4Hours and1小时明显依旧震荡偏空，今日亚盘上方压力位重点关注凌晨反抽高点1275，此位置如能强势突破，多头有望占据上风，反之行情继续看延续震荡下跌，而下方短线支撑则重点关注昨晚回落低点1267！


Golden Operation Strategy:
   
    1Suggest a rebound1274Short selling on the front line,1276Fill the gap, stop loss1278Above, look at the target1268-1266；


    2First contact1267Long on the front line, stop loss1263下方，目标回看1273-1275




crude oilMarket analysis:


    小时图的形态目前已经走出多头，亚盘可以先看一波反弹至48一线，欧盘未能破高，以此位置作为进场点向下看，晚间7点之前出局，美盘看好一个反弹，EIA数据预计利多油价，但空间不大，上方以48.2and48.5为防守点，先涨后跌，下看47一线支撑破位情况。综合来看，油价空头趋势比较强，日内重点关注上方压力48, lower support47。


Crude oil operation strategy:


     1、原油凌晨47.47开仓多，没有止盈的坚定持有。看48.00---48.20


     2Touching from above48.2---48.50开仓空，止损48.8, Objective47！




黄金下跌的原因：


1、美联储三号人物、纽约联储主席杜德利周二凌晨表示，目前通胀略低于目标水平，预计美国通胀将有所上升；称若经济如期发展，将支持美联储2017年再次加息。


2、朝鲜领导人已推迟向美国领土关岛发射导弹的决定，他要再观察美国行动一段时间；两国之间的军事选择只有在外交和经济施压失败的情况下才会使用。目前两国关系有所缓和。


3、周二（8month15Day) Evening20:30，被冠以“恐怖数据”支撑的美国7Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.6%, creating2016year12月以来最大增幅，高于市场预期的0.4%，也高于上月修正后的0.3%，表明美国经济复苏势头向好。美国债券收益率上涨，数据公布后，美元指数短线上扬，突破94关口。致使黄金接连跌破1280、1270Two major checkpoints.




    Message from Xianjiang:Those who often pay attention to my suggestions should understand the accuracy of my suggestions. Years of market analysis have created Xianjiang's keen insight into the market today. Perhaps Xianjiang's daily operational suggestions are not the most timely, but they are definitely the most accurate and stable! When many friends should short, they are afraid of rising, and when they should long, they are afraid of falling back. In fact, this is the human heart, this is the technology, and the human heart is the greatest technology. Sometimes you may agree that what really affects you is not the price, but too many things in your imagination. Xianjiang is willing to be your guide.


I only use my strength to speak-Teacher Xianjiang!


writing/On Jin by Xianjiang/Personal official online guidance for Weixin/Buckle:2738930443(Friends who set orders can consult me