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Xianjiang Lunjin:8.7Gold Lunch Review: Gold bearish outlook will adjust after the Super Extreme Week, crude oil looks at it49.2Frontline support!

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    Trading is like buying and selling, buying and selling all the positions when you're right, and selling all the positions when you're satisfied, but in practice, that's completely different!This is the gap between theory and practice, which requires an alliance of technology and experience to be better. As the saying goes, to predict the market, it is better to follow the market, that is, follow the trend, not complex or mysterious, simplify transactions, and stabilize accounts. No matter how good the theory is, not practicing is useless. No matter how good other people's methods are, not following them has nothing to do with you. Hear, see, learn, and the rest is to do it, because only by doing it can one obtain. The above is my personal experience on the trading floor. A simple exchange is not important whether it's right or not, but whether you can understand it.




goldMarket Review:

    Last week's gold market was generally in a high, fluctuating and downward trend, and the trend was quite similar. The market fluctuation in the first four trading days was not significant, and it has been maintaining a fluctuating trend. It passed through the trend of white market correction and evening rebound. The weekly and January line closed within the day5The US dollar fluctuated, showing a trend of rising, falling, and closing at the bottom on Tuesday and Wednesday. On Thursday, the Asian stock market experienced a flash crash and diving10The US dollar quickly rebounded after stopping its decline, and the US market once again encountered obstacles and turned to high consolidation. The desire for gold to rise during the week is relatively strong, but the desire needs to be supported and pushed by practical force1272-1274The region has encountered significant obstacles, and has been mercilessly suppressed multiple times in a row, leading to a deeper decline. The momentum of the bulls has gradually dissipated in the unsuccessful charge. Subsequently, the upward high point continuously decreased, and the lower low point has also been continuously breaking low. Finally, with the help of non agricultural bears on Friday night, the bears are on the verge of breaking out, and the market's cliff jumping unilateral decline has refreshed the week's low point1254Point position, therefore it also means that this time1274The defense ended, and the weekly line finally closed with a negative line, ending the three consecutive positive trends of the weekly line.



Gold market analysis:

     Gold was temporarily traded in the early trading session of the Asian market today1258Near the company. Last Friday(8month4day)Due to the United States7The monthly non farm data is better than expected, which may remove obstacles and boost the Federal Reserve's third interest rate hike this year
dollar
Record the largest daily increase of the year, with gold plummeting on the same day1%The lowest touch in the plate1254.26One week low. This week, multiple officials from the Federal Reserve will deliver speeches,
Meanwhile, investors also need to pay attention to the United StatesCPIThe performance of a series of important economic data.

    Daily level, with gold prices plummeting the previous trading day1%,And try to explore1250The key retraction support is also located at this position50Japan and Japan100Daily moving average. In terms of indicators,MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to contract, and the opening of the double line golden fork converges,KDJThe indicator is downward. However, after falling below200Daily moving average1230Previously, the medium-term risk remained upward.60At the minute level, it is expected that in the short term1250-1275Continue to oscillate and correct. Just hold on1250With frontline support, there is still hope for the future market to look forward to1278-1280Resistance to retreat position. However, if it effectively falls below1250, it may open up space for further descent.



Golden Operation Strategy:



     
At present, the initial resistance of gold is at1278-1280。 In terms of the downward trend, initial support is in1250as well as1230。





crude oilMarket analysis:

    There is still hope in this week's discussion50At the gateway. The crude oil market fluctuated and declined in the early trading session last Friday, further releasing the momentum of short positions in crude oil. For the downward trend characteristics of crude oil, it is still necessary to mention it again. Everyone can observe it more for themselves. As long as the bearish signal is confirmed, the decline is quickly completed in a short period of time, and the hourly line continues to close negative and spread out. So when it comes to a downtrend, if you don't prepare to enter the market in advance, it's difficult for you to participate, or you dare not participate at all. If you are considering whether the bulls can move higher while shorting at a high level, and you are afraid of being caught, then you will never get the profit from short orders. However, personally, I am more inclined to take profits from short positions because orders are issued quickly and the profits are large, unlike profits from long positions where there is not much room for ink. So far, regardless of whether you keep up with my short selling pace or not, the technical side of short selling has undoubtedly been exposed. The only advantage of bulls now is that their defense against the daily closing positive is still effective, but it is only one last step away. If bulls fail, they will accelerate their decline again.



    From the daily chart of crude oil, the high level of crude oil closed negative, and the top formed a bearish swallowKThe shape of the line, which means that the short line is still affected by the large negative line and still runs empty,RSIThe indicator is at a high level,StochThe middle of the indicator is about to see a golden cross and high level bubbles, which means that crude oil will face a demand for downward adjustment in the short term; from4From the hourly chart, the current price is running near the upper track of the Bollinger Belt, with high points decreasing and low points reaching new lows. This means that the short-term trend is bearish,RSIThe indicator runs at a high level,StochThe indicator is pointing upwards, but is about to reach a high dead cross. Overall,
Crude oil continued to rebound on Monday, hitting high altitudes, with upward focus on resistance50frontline.



Crude oil operation strategy:



    1Callback48.9Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss48.5, look at the goal49.6Near.



    2、49.8-50Nearby empty orders enter, stop loss50.3, look at the goal49Near.





   
After the non agricultural period, many customers who have sold out their positions come to Xianjiang for help. To be honest, Xianjiang doesn't know what to say at this time, "selling out"? How could such a situation occur? Investors should understand the issue of timely stop loss. When speaking, do not say that it is not your greed that caused it. Every time the market is high, I remind my clients not to be greedy. If we make money, we will run away. If we want to make money, we will do more back and forth operations and still flip positions. Do not put our money on the forefront of the market. If we win, we will flip positions and lose? It's strange not to sell out! Speaking of this, it involves the issue of the teacher. The general reason why clients can sell out is that the teacher did not take corresponding remedial measures for investors in a timely manner, so it is important to find a responsible teacher. Opportunities and risks, gains and losses are all in one thought, just like the recent trend of gold. Last week, the profits from the fluctuations in gold prices were considerable. Except for those sharp declines and violent upward movements, other periods of the market were quite easy to grasp. Although the profits were relatively small, you need to understand the principle of "not accumulating small steps, not even a thousand miles; not accumulating small streams, not a river and sea". Wealth requires a process of accumulation. Don't always hold onto the mentality of overnight wealth or the possibility of pie falling from the sky. These are unrealistic, so live in the present.





writing/On Jin by Xianjiang/Personal official online guidance for Weixin:2738930443
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