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Preface——
又到周五了,多头行情就是利润少,时间又过去了一周,同时也到了月尾,庆军认为这个月基本上是反弹收尾了,因为即使周尾和月尾暴跌,月线也最多是十字收线,貌似月线进入了震荡期,可能后面会阴阳循环式的走,这一点庆军希望大家注意,并且庆军个人看好goldfrom1295开始震荡下行,目前再走1205开始的反弹,等这轮反弹结束认为短期内后市将继续下跌,现在上升已经持续三周,但依然没有下跌迹象,转折点出现在美联储利率决议,周四凌晨的暴涨,将多头继续推向更高的位置,庆军要提醒大家的是:现在周尾不是要不要做空的问题,而是多头能否站稳1260,一旦站稳,按照递进式的反弹规律,后面不排除还有冲高的可能!
Remove and click here to add image captions and textMessage surface:
The Federal Reserve announced early Thursday morning7monthFOMCMeeting statement to maintain the federal funds rate at1[%]-1.25[%]The range remains unchanged and meets market expectations. On the one hand, the Federal Reserve acknowledges weak inflation, and on the other hand, suggests that it will soon begin to shrink its balance sheet. Overall, the Federal Reserve's statement leans towards the dovish side. The price of gold broke through as a result1260一线,美指声明之后跳水。另外特朗普正面临诸多麻烦,避险需求仍然对黄金形成支撑。不仅医保法案将再次无法通过,美国众议院以压倒多数投票通过对俄罗斯实施新的制裁,特朗普放松制裁必须获得国会议员的允许。美国政治的不确定依旧支撑金价。
Personal viewpoint:
今年以来黄金已经有过两次冲击1300The opportunity to pass the level, once in a while4In mid month, once at6At the beginning of the month, both were before and after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, indicating that the Fed had a huge impact on the trend of gold. In the first half of this year, the Fed also completed two interest rate hikes, which may have led to two shocks1300The root cause of failure, and the most likely reason for raising interest rates in the second half of the year now is12Month, and9The monthly balance sheet also faces this huge challenge, and without the obstacle of interest rate hikes, the gold price has broken through this time1260The US dollar seems to have already been seen1300的终点,在这最后一段冲刺道路上,基本已经没有什么阻碍。从长线来看,庆军认为这一次多头行情,或许就是最有可能冲破1300The timing of the big challenge.
Technical analysis of gold:
从早间开盘看,昨天日线在高位报收一根十字星K线,虽然日线级别依旧保持在反弹趋势中,但是回想昨天的走势我们不得不谨慎,回顾本周前几个交易日走势,可以看到,每一波上升其实都是震荡修正,我们把关注的重点走偏了,不是看多头能涨到哪里,而是看价格能回踩到哪里,只有关注了关键支撑的得失,才能保证多头的延续。今天周线收官,建议日内操作多单进场切勿激进,亚盘上方关注1262-1265Regional resistance, pay attention below1255-1252Support.
Remove and click here to add image captions and textSuggestions for Gold Operations:
建议下方回落1255Long nearby, stop loss1252, look at the goal1262-1265Nearby, break through and hold.
建议反至弹1264Short and stop losses in nearby light positions1267, look at the goal1258-1255附近,破位减仓看1252;
crude oilaspect:
原油,前面震荡上升,这周涨得更加坚决,所以现在价格才会企稳48之上,虽然时间已经有两天,但之前行情震荡下行,现在要上升阻力也不小,原油目前确实有些上下两难的意思,这两天日线虽然不断的上升,但已经多次回踩,价格却没有很明显的涨幅,周尾不排除有回落的可能,还有这段时间觉得原油不规律,这几天确实突破了,但不大涨又有回落风险,还好,突破之后给出的都是回踩48一带做多策略,按照策略来说还是成功的,只是操作上我自己没有入手,还是主要聚焦黄金,每天依然持续获利中,今天不管是否大幅回落,反正已经两天都站在48上方了,那么仍然按照顺势做多原则操作。
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
建议回撤48.5Long nearby, stop loss48.1, look at the goal49.5
Remove and click here to add image captions and textIdeas for unwinding gold empty orders:
1.1252-55Friends who are covered in the interval, the resistance above is1267Frontline, touching1267Replenishing short orders lowers the average price and leads to a pullback1260Reduce positions below and exit, to1257All outs, backhand long;
2.1247-1252附近空单的朋友,被套的点位算是不小了,估计资金量不够的话会扛不住后续再次上行,庆军建议有回调就先损,无回调就当断则断,逐步减仓出局,后市仍然可以把握机回调机会多再把损失挽回!
3.If there are still1244-1445附近重度空单的朋友,庆军预计很多大资金的朋友估计这个时候也是快扛不住了,再加上短线黄金大幅拉升上涨,所以空单拿的越久就套得越深!请尽快联系我
一千个人眼中就会有一千个哈姆雷特,策略不适合每个人,庆军也是知道的。如果感觉不合适,可单独与庆军聊聊 ,必然将根据每个人的具体情况,作出最为合适的策略!
以上建议仅供参考,具体点位以实盘为准,合理控制好仓位,切勿重仓或满仓操作,做单严格止损止盈.
Message:
投资不是投机,切忌急切之心,切勿追涨杀跌,投资是一个长期的过程,在这个过程中,必定有盈有亏,但心态一定要保持好,在投资的过程中,有一名指路者总能让人保持平静,正所谓:读万卷书不如行万里路,行万里路不如阅人无数,阅人无数不如名家指路,名家指路不如名家带路,我在这里等你,套单锁单操作不理想可加我交流。
writing:Xiong Qingjun: Work Wei letter 13235572581 penguin3324975373
2017-07-28 |