揭秘黄金原油最新行情【谈油论金-罗老师】

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消息面利好因素:

1.周四欧洲央行宣布维持利率不变，行长德拉基表示欧元区需要刺激政策，银行债券购买计划的潜在变化将会在秋季讨论。

2.美国商务部上周五公布的数据显示，美国6月零售销售月率下跌0.2%，为一年最大跌幅，不及预期增长0.1%，前值从下跌0.3%修正为下跌0.1%。 暗示美国家庭依然对消费开支持谨慎态度，这可能意味着二季度经济或许将延续一季度的疲软。

3.美国劳工部最新的报告称，美国6月消费者物价指数月率连续第四个月不及预期，核心CPIfall to2015year1月以来最低。数据显示，美国6monthCPIMonthly rate is0Expected growth0.1%，前值下跌0.1%。 U.S.A6monthCPI年率上涨1.6%, for2016year10月以来最小涨幅，表明通胀可能需要更长时间才能回升至美联储目标。

4.美国商业统计局周二（7month11日）公布，美国5月批发销售月率下跌0.5%；低于前值-0.4%And expectations-0.4%。批发商是制造商和零售商的中间商，是商业领域的缓冲环节。批发销售领域的趋势通常能说明其它经济领域的状况，经济学家通常会利用这一数据来对GDP进行预测。

Negative factors on the news side:

1.US Department of Labor Thursday（7month20Announced on (date), from the United States to7month15Unemployment benefit applicants for the current week23.310000 people, the former value is24.7Ten thousand people, expected to be24.5Ten thousand people, continuous124Weekly Below30Wanguan Pass, Continuously Creating1970The longest since the beginning of the year.. Reuters evaluation of the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week7month15Unexpectedly, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week has approached5A new low for the past month, with data indicating strong performance in the US job market, providing impetus for economic growth.

2.美国商务部周三公布的数据显示，6月新屋开工121.5万，为四个月以来最大增幅，好于预期的116Ten thousand, previous value109.2Revised to 10000112.2Ten thousand;6月新屋开工环比增速为8.3%Yes2016year12月以来最高，好于预期的6.20%，前值由萎缩5.5%修正为萎缩2.8%。

3.US Department of Labor Thursday（7month13Announce US to7month8The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is24.710000 people, the former value is24.8Ten thousand people, expected to be24.5人，连续三周录得上升后首次录得下降。美国当周初请失业金数据已经连续123Weekly Below30Wanguan Pass, Continuously Creating1970The longest since the beginning of the year.

4.US Department of Labor(DOL)Last Friday(7month7day)According to published data, the United States6月非农就业人口强劲增加22.2万人，远好于市场预期的增加17.7万，这也是四个月以来的最高水平，也是年内第二高。

Gold market analysis:

黄金：昨日黄金在1259附近遇阻回落，尾盘收出一根中阴线，价格结束持续上涨，证实上方趋势线压制依然有效。目前价格下方首要支撑位于1250附近，有空单的投资者重点关注此支撑的效果，如果一口气被跌穿，空单继续持有至1240；如果1250久攻不破，可考虑减仓或平仓离场。没有仓位的投资者同样重点关注1250支撑，若配合K反信号，可尝试小仓进多。若无法守住1250，则需耐心等待1240附近的支撑和做多机会。

Golden Operation Strategy:
Recommendation 1:稳健黄金下方守住1250Support,1253-1254区间做多，目标1259Breakthrough1259see1260
建议二：激进黄金上方守住1259阻力，在1257Empty, target1250Breakthrough Look1240.
crude oilOperation strategy:
原油早盘小幅上冲，现在价格46.6，今日不宜过多看涨原油，高位震荡为主。下方支撑46.2Upper resistance46.8，高抛低吸为主。

Investment carries risks and requires caution in operation,The above strategies are for personal reference only!
Today's key focus on financial data and events
Today's key focus on financial data and events2017year7month25day Tuesday
① 07:50 Bank of Japan Announces6month15-16日货币政策会议纪要
② 14:00 Germany6月出口物价指数月率
③ 16:00 Germany7monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index
④ 18:00 britain7monthCBIIndustrial order difference
⑤ 21:00 U.S.A5monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index, United States5monthS&amp/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
⑥ 22:00 U.S.A7Monthly Consultation Chamber of Commerce Consumer Confidence Index, United States7Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
⑦ The next day04:30 From the United States to7month21Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory
Opening an account1Obtained in 10000 US dollars(Mentor: Discussing Oil and Gold-Teacher Luo)Personally guide and speak with strength

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