由于沙特、阿联酋和尼日利亚产量上升,市场预计石油输出国组织(OPEC)原油产量将于7月继续攀升,OPEC原油产量本月将攀升14.510000 barrels/日,原油产量回升至330010000 barrels/日上方,即使该组织承诺将继续推进减产行动,这令市场供应过剩忧虑愈演愈烈,不过美元继续走低依然为油价带来了一定支撑。国际油价周五(7month21day)重挫逾2%, USAWTIcrude oilfuturesThe lowest price hit in the session45.54dollar/Bucket.
原油技术面分析
周五收官之战,原油表现的比较活跃,亚盘一直处于横盘状态,欧盘小幅冲高之后便迎来高位回落,晚间美盘更是遭遇瀑布式下跌,后市由于消息面的刺激,一举跌破46.00Pass support, hitting the lowest point in the day45.54The first line directly formed a continuous decline. This time, it was a continuous negative decline at the daily level, and after coming up, it did not cross the previous high position and directly penetrated it46.00The support position has formed a waterfall like downward trend, and the previous rise has been completely shattered in the current attachment. From a technical perspective, the daily line recorded a negative column and the moving average showed signs of a dead cross, running below the transaction pricemacdLooking at the price of crude oil, it should be30Operating below the daily moving average, crude oil showed a stepwise decline in four hours, recording3跟大阴线,且下方未见有效支撑,下周初原油空头趋势明显,但是周五文章中提到过,原油近期的一个大趋势还是要看下周一的欧佩克会议,因此周五午夜的下跌并不代表大空头完全到来,对于下周原油走势神指认为在做空的前提下,首先要看欧佩克赏不赏脸。下周原油策略暂不给出,个人认为在这种重大消息面前,任何技术面的分析都显得苍白无力,因此下周原油暂不给操作建议,一切静待欧佩克会议。
Multiple crude oil transactions
A friend who has been trapped by crude oil bulls would like to have one47USD and46The two major levels of the US dollar have a wide range of47The multiple orders in the US dollar were also mentioned in the analysis last night47.20的压制在周初几个交易日都是比较明显的,这个就不多说了,另外46The multiple orders at the US dollar level are actually quite unfair. Why do you say that? Because it was basically caught overnight on Friday, first of all, you don't bring a stop loss. In this kind of weekly closing market, there have been quite strange market trends not once or twice. In addition, from a technical perspective, the market has fallen below46.80一线强支撑后,空头的力度已经起来了,这时候还抱着交心心理?最后我来分析下周如何解套,对于原油的多单解套思路,上面思路比较明确了,就看周一欧佩克会议,简单的讲会议如果对减产做出明确行动,那么多单不必惊慌,而如果会议只是走一个过场,那么多单就要做好割肉的心理准备,万不可侥幸。当然详细的解套策略可以联系神指本人下周我们进行实时指导分析以及布局。
据纽约时报报道,在美国当地时间周五早上10时,美国总统特朗普任命对冲基金大鳄Anthony Scaramucci为白宫通讯主任,遭到原白宫发言人斯派塞的强烈反对。有消息人士称,美国总统特朗普曾要求斯派塞继续担任白宫发言人,但斯派塞认为特朗普的任命决定是一项重大错误,坚持辞去白宫发言人职务。受次影响,美指下跌最低至93.86,现货金价短线扩大升幅,最高升至1255.80dollar/Ounces, current report1254.53dollar/盎司,美国WTI 9月原油期货实盘价格周五收跌1.5USD, decline2.45%Report45.77dollar/Bucket.
黄金行行情分析
本周黄金继续延续上周涨势,且多头持续发酵,这让一度低迷的黄金市场在本周迎来新的生机,从上周的1210The first line once rose to1250上方,昨日午夜再来一波爆发,行情直接上冲至1255一线。从技术走势上分析,盘面依旧偏强,昨日再破新高,午夜也没有出现较大回撤,小时级别呈阶梯式上涨,上方目前看不到一个有效的压制,因此下周初还将延续多头动能,另外国际市场上目前基本没有提振美元,打压金价上行的消息,因此综合分析,黄金下周初操作上依旧建议以回落做多去对待。另外在上方没有一个比较明显的压制情况下,切勿盲目去做什么高空。