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上周五，欧元/美元未能突破1.3900，引发结利，逐步下跌至1.3856，但美国零售销售数据疲弱助汇价再度接近1.3900，此后美国密歇根大学消费者信心数据好于预期，带动美元全线反弹。欧元/美元受到打压，汇价一度跌至日内低点1.3843。尾盘升回1.3880附近，但最终无力挑战1.3900水平。由于本周有美联储的利率会议，市场目前对于汇价水平开始谨慎。预计美联储会议前整体上将保持区间盘整走势。上方阻力位1.3925、1.3950、1.4000Downlink support is set to1.3830、1.3800、1.3780。

The expected fluctuation range today is:1.3800-1.3950。

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