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纽元:慎防日圆回勇打击纽元(10month31day)

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•阻力参考0.5945**•0.6150•0.6340
•支撑参考0.5800•0.5620•0.5490•0.5400*

纽元兑美元周四触及六日高位0.6030,得益于美国联邦储备理事会(FED)降息缓解了投资者对全球经济的忧虑,风险偏好改善。不确定性依然存在,预计纽元将继续从全球股市中寻找线索,继续保持震荡。

技术走势方面,0.58Horizontal10月份多次测试之底部,至上周出现失守引发急挫;虽然周三纽元攀上关键之0.58上方,但若然未能持续稳企此区上方,则不排除纽元仍存有再次滑落之风险。下方支撑将先看50At the bottom of the Ripoleca channel0.5620As for20At the bottom of the Ripoleca channel0.5490,整体关键近支撑则预计在0.54水平。另一方面,向上则仍需考验一关键阻力0.5945,则为9月末延伸至今之下降趋向线,需上破此区才可确认进一步较明显之上升行情。以gold比率计算,50.0%The rebound level is0.6150,61.8%Then it can be seen that0.6340。图表上见较有意义阻力则为25Balance moving average0.6155。

析由英皇金融集团纵横汇海研究部提供)
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