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London Gold :月末或见大幅减动 ▼▼(10month31day)

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Londongold周四盘初走强,一度升见至最高776.30美元,但晚市则扭转起初的涨势,急剧下挫,因油价下跌且美国经济数据令人担忧全球经济衰退,可能降低对黄金的需求。因美元兑欧元走强,金价早盘的涨幅消退,美元上扬,受美国公司需求所提振,且全球基金经理月底轧平部位或再次平衡投资组合。美国商务部周四公布,第三季国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率初值为下降0.3%,为七年来最大萎缩,但市场原本预估为萎缩0.5%。

黄金周四升抵777,完成了反弹38.2%的目标,但随后美元重拾升势,令黄金回挫,跌破短期上升通道底部750,纵使金价一度作技术反弹,亦745亦无法回破,因此两区亦将较近阻力参考,预计进一步阻力则在773水平。至于目前再见回吐之趋向,下方首个目标将先为720关口,较重要支持则关注713and702美元,若然进一步挫低或回见至上周低位680水平。由于是日为周末,亦为月末关系,可预见是日或会出现较反覆之波动。

London Gold 10month31day
Predicting early wave amplitude:713 - 746
Support bit:702 - 684
Resistance level:757 - 773

析由英皇金融集团纵横汇海研究部提供)
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