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Translated by Panshijia:7.17晚评,午夜黄金原油行情策略

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Monday(7month17日)国际现货goldPrice早盘时段小幅延伸上升,最高触及1232.2dollar/盎司后,截止目前小幅回落1230关口附近盘整;Fundamentals上,上周Federal Reserve主席耶伦讲话意外转鹰派,加上The US economy数据频频亮“红灯”的情况下,美联储下半年加息预期大幅降低,越来越多的投行以及市场人士看衰美联储下半年的加息行动,甚至认为年内加息都难。由于美联储年内加息预期的降低,黄金价格周五盘中受到提振大幅上涨,金价一度涨破1230整数关口,目前金价于1230附近震荡。


USD Index方面,自5月份以来美元指数就呈现疲态一路下滑,在今日更是创下2017年以来最低点95.06, Near10个月新低。虽然美元呈现熊市趋势,但切勿过早下判断,所谓“物极必反”,除非还出现其他利空打压,否则美元在95关键支撑下,开启回调行情是大概率事件。这将成为本周金价能否持续反弹的隐忧之一,毕竟美元的上涨会在一定程度上压制黄金多头的动能。


Gold Technology


上周五晚间,受美国最新CPI数据利多刺激影响,黄金大幅跳空上涨,价格强势突破了前期密集压力位1225以及本月初非农高点1228, highest touch1232.60,从日线图上看,K线呈现连续阳线上攻,并且已经逼近布林中轨一线,高点1296-1280下降趋势线连接线也已经被成功上破,上周初1204有望成为阶段性底部,周线级别也收出一根久违阳线,1小时持续高位强势横盘,日内操作建议顺势回调做多为主,下方支撑关注周五晚间回落低点1226,守住此位置继续看反弹新高,上方压力位短线关注4小时前期高点1235!


Operation suggestions


1.Falling back1230Going long nearby, losing1225target1235Break hold.
2、具体实仓策略关注译盘世家


crude oil技术分析面


From a daily perspective, crude oil shows an upward contraction in the opening of the Bollinger Bands,KThere is a trend of upward movement between the line operation and the upper part of the Bollinger Bands, and there is a bonding trend between various moving averages,MACD快慢线开口向上有二次发散趋势,红色能量柱增加,多头趋势加强;从四小时线上看,布林带开口向上发散,K线运行于布林带上轨与中轨之间,各均线开始粘合,STOIt is located in the overbought area, crossing and leveling,MACD快慢线开口向上发散,红色能量柱增加,多头趋势加强;综合来看,目前多头趋势稍占优势,建议操作上以回踩做多为主。


Suggestions for crude oil operation:


1、现价直接多,止损46Target View47-47.5。
2、具体实仓策略关注译盘世家


writing//Translated by Panshi FamilyV:OL0080(投资有风险,入市需谨慎!)
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