王牌精英讲堂：美股与黄金价格走势有关系吗？

王牌精英讲堂：美股与gold价格走势有关系吗？
美股和黄金价格走势并没直接的关系，但是通过美股的走势可以判断美国经济状况，从而映射出美元的走势。而美元走势在全球经济、通胀、地缘政治、供给等情况下不同程度的影响着黄金价格的走势。

一般情况下美元是和黄金是逆向互动的关系，国际黄金是以国际货币美元计价的，美元上涨了，相对来说黄金的价格就会下跌。
黄金和股票只有在特定的时间节点才会有直接的关系，因为黄金本身的避险属性，当股市下跌时，预期经济下滑，黄金价格就会上涨。但是如果这个时候有更加避险的资本品出现，比如升值中的美元，或者升值的瑞士法郎。这样黄金的保值性反而没有这些升值趋势的货币的保值性强，这个时候黄金价格就会一起下跌。
美股上涨意味着美国经济好转，美股下跌意味着经济衰退
在全球货币中，美元是避险货币，当一国经济衰退时，能反映本国经济情况的股票等指数就会下跌，出于避险的考虑人们会购买美元来避险，所以当股票下跌的时候美元得到了支撑。
相反，当美股上涨，说明美国经济好转，强势大国的经济好转，也许就能拉动全球经济好转，人们此时就把美元兑换成其他高息货币来进行套息交易的投资，所以大量的美元被抛售，从而使美元下跌支持了非美避险资产。
一般情况下，美股上升会带动以crude oil和黄金为首的大宗商品上涨。但在全球债务危机的背景下，资金流动性较差，面临债务危机，则会促使持有大量黄金的国家和财团抛售黄金兑换美元等现金货币，从而挽救低迷的市场经济和提振金融市场，这个时期的表现则是：黄金价格快速下跌，股市超跌反弹。
简单的说，当金价在它还有避险价值的区间内，它是与股价成反向变动的，呈现出的是一种避险功能。但是当金价的涨幅超过本身的属性，而更加体现出一种风险属性或是投资属性的话，它与股票就是同向变动了。
另外，黄金还有抗通胀作用。在不同阶段，美股与黄金之间也有不同的联系：
1.在通货膨胀初级阶段，通胀上升，股票上升，黄金上升。
2.通胀后期阶段，通胀上升，股票下跌，黄金上升。
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