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10month20日重要数据公布:(10month20day)

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14:00 Germany9Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)Monthly rate•forecast-0.7%•Previous value-0.6%
14:00 Germany9Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)the annual rate•Previous value+8.1%
16:30 britain9Monthly net borrowing from public sector(PSNB)•Previous value103.71Billion
16:30 britain9Shortfall in monthly public sector revenue and expenditure•前值短期51.18Billion
20:30 Canada8Monthly wholesale trade rate•Previous value+2.3%
22:00 U.S.A9Monthly leading indicators•forecast-0.3%•Previous value-0.5%

10month21day (Tuesday)
14:15 Switzerland9Monthly trade balance
18:00 British Industrial Alliance(CBI)10Monthly total industrial order difference
20:30 9Monthly Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity Index
21:00 Bank of Canada Rate Resolution

10month22day (Wednesday)
07:50 Japan8月所有产业指数
16:30 Bank of England meeting minutes
20:30 Canada9Monthly leading indicators
20:30 Canada8Monthly retail sales rate
20:30 Canada8Monthly deduction of automobile retail sales monthly rate

10month23day (Thursday)
07:50 Japan9Monthly trade balance
16:00 eurozone8月经常帐收支
16:00 eurozone8月投资流动
16:30 britain9Monthly retail sales
17:00 eurozone8Monthly industrial orders
20:30 美国一周首次申领失业人数

10month24day (Friday)
15:00 France10Monthly Purchasing Manager Index(PMI)
15:30 Germany10Monthly Purchasing Manager Index(PMI)
16:00 eurozone10Monthly Purchasing Manager Index(PMI)
16:30 UK Q3 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)
19:00 Canada9Monthly consumer price index(CPI)
22:00 U.S.A9Monthly Housing Sales

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上周美国宣布向包括九大银行的金融机构挹注2,500亿美元资金。英国、德国、法国周一均宣布计划重整银行体系资本结构。在多家央行发布拯救受困全球金融 体系的一系列措施后,各国股市之颓势得以缓和;美国道琼斯工业指数上周扬升4.8%,结束三周灾难性的跌势。然而,美国在技术上可能已经走入衰退,虽然经 济指标有其滞后性,现在的疑虑不是衰退与否的问题,而是严重程度的问题。上周美国数据显示,9Monthly industrial production decreased compared to the previous month2.8%, recorded1974年以来最大降 幅;工业设备生产下滑7%,暗示公司在信贷危机加剧之际缩减支出。美国8月房屋动工年率减少6.3%to81.7Ten thousand households, for1991year1Since the beginning of the month3最低;9月营 建许可年率减少8.3%to78.6Ten thousand households, for1981year11The lowest since the beginning of the month;10monthNAHB房屋建筑商信心挫至纪录低点,为信贷紧缩对更广泛经济冲击提供更多佐 证。9月零售销售减少1.2%,为三年多以来最大降幅;路透/University of Michigan10月消费者信心指数公布为57.5Below estimated65.5,亦较9Month end value70.3 下滑,月度跌幅创纪录。一系列黯淡数据表明,即使是政府为稳定金融机构所采取的空前举措能成功令借贷活动恢复正常,但基础经济仍因数月来的动荡形势而严重 受创。汇市方面,疲弱经济数据未见对美元造成太大压力,反而避险买盘则维持对美元构成支撑,美元指数依然高企于82水准上方。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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