Wednesday morning, American Petroleum Institute(API)AnnouncedAPIInventory data, as of7month7Large reduction in crude oil inventory during the current week813.3Ten thousand barrels, recorded2016year9The largest decline since the beginning of the month, far exceeding the expected decrease322.5Ten thousand barrels, gasoline inventory also recorded a decrease80.1Ten thousand barrels,WTIThe price of crude oil has rapidly risen, and the intraday increase has expanded to over3%。NYMEXMost active8Monthly crude oilfuturesContract in Beijing Time04:30-04:35The six minute trading volume is15513The total value of trading contracts exceeds7.09亿美元。周三晚间EIA将公布原油库存数据,预期EIACrude oil inventory will decrease322.5Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease629.9Ten thousand barrels.
Analysis of crude oil market:
目前技术面来看,日图布林带开口向右走平运行且上轨略微向上开口,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线死叉向右走平,油价在隔夜美盘的大涨后K线收在了MA10均线上方,目前K线于布林中上轨间MA10Running above the moving average,MACD金叉继续上行红色动能二次放量,KDJ三线拐头向上行将交金叉,行情整体呈现多头格局;4小时图上,布林带开口向外扩张,油价在隔夜的大涨后收盘K线收在布林上轨上方,目前K线交投于布林上轨上方,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线在小幅走平后再次开口向上发散多头强势上攻,MACD快慢线在一段时间的粘合态运行后再次向上发散红色动能强势放量,KDJ三线二次向上强势发散运行,油价短线多头强势。综合来看,油价受美国2018年原油产量预期下降以及欧佩克可能对利比亚和尼日利亚进行限产影响多头受到提振,加之API数据大幅利多油价,原油多头多重利多因素影响大涨,预计日内油价还有一定上涨动能,日内短线操作上笔者建议以回落做多为主,重点关注晚间22:30公布的原油EIAInventory data.
目前我们需要结合当下趋势,基本面(通俄门事件)的影响以及短线所面临的操作的注意事项,以小止损博取大收益一直是我们的核心,黄金自跌破1218一线后就一直在强调反弹就是空;那么趋势已然形成,至少应该等反弹有效站稳1218后,多头行情才会得以生机,否则一路做空就是我们的主思路,当然短线需要结合点位进行操作。目前上方关注1220-1222One line of resistance, pay attention below1207-1210支撑,黄金偏弱走势,反弹仍然逢高做空为主,关注区间1204-1222的震荡调整。