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AUD : 追随股市走势(10 month16day)

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Focus:
•澳元中止跳升势头
•股票和商品等风险较高资产受打压
•阻力参考0.6910•0.7000•0.7160
•支撑参考0.6400/30•0.6330

澳元周三从一周高位下滑,部分回吐前两个交易日录得的大量涨幅,因市场重又担忧全球衰退恐损及高收益货币的魅力。全球经济仍在走向衰退,商品价格下落,澳 洲央行料进一步下调利率,而有关政府支持计划的明细,依然存在大量不确定性。澳洲政府周二宣布了规模为104亿澳元的紧急经济激励计划,以在全球衰退的环 境下护卫该国经济,主要形式为向低收入劳动者及领取退休金人士提供一次性资助。

周三美股重挫,澳元亦相应自自0.70关口急降近500点至最低0.65。技术图表方面,则需见澳元再可上闯一层楼,才可确立澳元之升 势,较近阻力会先见于10Balance moving average0.6910, and0.70亦具其参考价值。若以gold比率计算,由9月下旬起始之跌势其38.2%反弹为 0.7160,50%Then it is0.7420,61.8%You can see that0.7680水平。而下方支撑则为0.6400/30,较大支撑位预计见于0.6330。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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