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昨日美元强劲反弹,基本面原因是美股上扬,美债收益率出现大幅反弹,10年期债券收益率逼近4.5%,市场对美联储9月降息的预期已经自此前的50点缩减至25点,甚至有人认为无需降息,而欧洲央行、英国央行本周的再次注资以缓解流动性的举措,也使得市场担心次贷危机可能持续更长时间,有消息称英国抵押贷款公司Northern Rock 请求英国央行给予金融援助,造成了套息交易大幅平仓。今日有一系列的美国数据公布,市场将以此判断美联储降息的可能性及降息幅度。
今日关注数据:20:30U.S.A8月份零售销售,前值0.3%/月,美国二季度经常帐,前值-1926亿美元,市场预测-1900USD100mn21:15U.S.A8月份工业生产,前值0.3%/月,市场预测0.3%/Month,22:00U.S.A9月份密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值 Previous value83.4,市场预测84.3。
Today's upward pressure on the euro:1.3890-1.3900,1.3920-30,1.3950-60, lower support:1.3850-60,1.3820-30,1.3790-1.3800。
Today's strategy: The key pressures above today are:1.3890-1.3900The key support below today is located at:1.3850-60Today's operation: Sell short on high, refer to the entry range for short orders:1.3890-1.3900。
Today's pressure above the pound:2.0200-10,2.0240-50,2.0280-90,Lower support:2.0130-40,2.0080-90,2.0030-40。
Today's strategy: The key pressures above today are:2.0240-50The key support below is located at:2.0130-40Today's operation: Sell short on high, refer to the entry range for short orders:2.0240-50。
Today's USD/Pressure above the Japanese yen:115.20-30,115.50-60,115.80-90, lower support:114.40-50,113.90-114.00,113.50-60。
Today's strategy: Key support below today is located114.40-50The key pressure above is located at:115.20-30Today's operation: Sell short on high, refer to the entry range for short orders:115.20-30。
The key pressure above the US Index today is79.80Key support located below79.45The expected trend is shown in the following figure.