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10month2日重要数据公布:(10month2day)

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14:00 英国房屋抵押贷款协会9月房价月率•forecast-1.6%•Previous value-1.9%
14:00 英国房屋抵押贷款协会9月房价年率•forecast-12.4%•Previous value-10.5%
17:00 eurozone8Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)Monthly rate•forecast-0.5%•Previous value+1.1%
17:00 eurozone8Monthly Production Price Index(PPI)the annual rate•forecast+8.5%•Previous value+9.0%
19:45 European Central Bank interest rate resolution ★★
20:30 Number of first weekly claims for unemployment assistance in the United States•forecast47.5ten thousand•Previous value49.3ten thousand ★
22:00 U.S.A8Monthly factory orders•forecast-2.5%•Previous value+1.3% ★★
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10month1day
港金息率:低息50Hong Kong dollars
LondongoldMorning order price:876.00
London gold afternoon fixing price:880.00
London Silver Set Price:12.28

黄金伦敦收盘(23:15):877.10 / 879.10   

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
755.26ton

NYMEX 12月期金:
开市价:876.50 - 收市价:888.00
最高价:898.50 - 最低价:876.50
________________________________________
ISM制造业指数创上次衰退以来最低水准

According to private employment service organizationsADP Employer Services及咨询公司Macroeconomic Advisers周三发布的报告,美国9月民间部门就业人口意外减少8,000人,但该报告中并未计入过去几周金融动荡的影响。Macroeconomic AdviserschairmanJoel Prakken称,美国失业率可能在明年年中以前增至7%。另外,美国供应管理协会(ISM)表示,其全国工厂活动指数自8Of49.9fall to9month43.5, creating2001year10month40.8以来的最差表现,当时美国经济仍陷于上次衰退的泥潭之中。ISM报告描绘出了一幅全面疲弱的经济图景,而情况还可能恶化,因金融业动荡进一步限制了企业为其业务进行融资所需的信贷渠道。ISM制造业就业分项指数触及2003year4月以来的最低水准,而前景看上去也很黯淡,因制造业新订单分项跌至2001year1月以来的最低水准,出口分项则下滑至2006year7月以来的最低。同时,根据就业咨询公司Challenger, Gray & Christmas发布的报告,9月美国企业计划裁员人数较上月增长7.2%,但较上年同期跳增了33%。报告称算上9月的裁员人数,第三季的裁员总人数达到了287,142, for2005年第四季以来的季度最大裁员幅度。但这一数字可能还未完全反映出近期金融动荡的影响。ADP民间部门就业人口数据的表现亦类似,据民间就业服务机构ADP Employer Services发布的报告,美国9月民间部门就业人口意外减少8,000人,原先市场预估中值为减少6万人,美元受此提振。英国制造业9月以创纪录速度萎缩的消息打压英镑,报告令英国央行下周降息的机率增加。美元兑欧元和日圆周三上涨,延续前一交易日升势。另外欧元区9月制造业活动呈现将近七年来最低迷状态,也增添美元兑欧元的吸引力。

市场聚焦周五众议院表决及就业报告
U.S.A7,000亿美元的金融援救法案已获国会参议院通过,下一步将提交众议院表决,预计将在周五进行投票,对此市场仍深存忧虑。不过,即使救援计划得以通过,也只能是阻止形势恶化,市场可能开始把注意力转向经济基本面,目前美国经济仍面临信贷紧张和房屋市场下滑。而即将于周五发布的非农就业报告料显示,9月整体美国经济就业人口连续第九个月减少。根据分析师的预估中值,劳工部的非农就业报告预计显示9Monthly employment decrease1010000 people.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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