euro : (9month29day)

欧元走势方面，上周初高试至1.4865，其后缓缓承压试低，至周末前维持在1.4550上方窄幅盘整。美国的救市方案能否成功推行限制著欧元上周的摆动，市场观望气氛浓厚。估计救市计划拖得越久，美元负面人气持续的时间就越长，这亦将有望将欧元推上更高一层屡。

欧元有机会已运行大型第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(5)伸延浪。欧元由05year11month15Daily low1.1640开始为大型上升浪的第(V)浪，由1.1640to06year1month25Daily high1.2323为第(V)Within the waves1Waves,1.2323to06year2month27Daily low1.1825为第(V)Within the waves2Waves,1.1825to06year6month5Daily high1.2976For the large section(V)Within the waves3浪，由1.2976to06year10month13Daily low1.2483为第4Waves,1.2483to06year12month4Daily high1.3367为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(1)Stretching waves,1.3367to07year6month12Daily low1.3262为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(2)Stretching waves, 1.3262to08year4month22Daily high1.6018为第(3)Stretching waves,1.6018to6month13Daily low1.5302为第(4)Stretching within the waves(a)Waves,1.5302to7month15Daily high1.6037为第(4)Stretching within the waves(b)Waves. from1.6037to9month11日最低的1.3881为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(4)Stretching within the waves(c)浪，而第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(4)伸延浪亦在此完结。此外，若以第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(3)伸延浪的幅度以gold比率计算，回吐76.4%by1.3915，非常接近9month11Daily low1.3881，故有理由相信第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(4)伸延浪在9month11Daily low1.3881完成。而由1.3881开始至现在应为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(5)伸延浪，预料此第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(5)伸延浪有机会再以次一级的伸延浪运行，故未来数星期，欧元有机会反弹至1.50附近水平后再回落至1.40-1.43Horizontal.

图表分析所见，预计支持位会以10天平均线为重要参考，目前处于1.4480水平，维持于此区上方走势仍处偏稳发展。另外，亦见5天平均线已升破10天平均线形成利好交叉，倘若欧元可进一步升破50Balance moving average1.4850，将有助奠定中线趋向之基础，下一级挑战目标预计可看至1.50and250Balance moving average1.5075。不过，若果欧元尚未有动力上行突破，则慎防25Balance moving average1.4435之失守将引发更多沽盘，之后的要关键将为1.41Gateway.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)