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Attitude determines hardship and joy, concept determines success and failure, and the simpler a person is, the more peaceful their trading becomes. Many times, you would rather be killed in battle against the tide than reflect on yourself. A drop of ink can stain a glass of water, but it is difficult to muddy a river because a generous heart can accommodate it;One sentence can ruin a temporary mood, but it is difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market, and because you are strong, the road is ahead. Don't easily stop walking.
Thursday Beijing time(7month6In the early morning of the day2点,美联储将公布6月政策会议纪要,届时加息缩表预期势必影响黄金白银价格。名慧先带大家回顾6月货币政策会议,主要从两个方面概述6月美联储会议主要内容。其一、加息,6month15日,美联储再次走出历史性一刻,宣布加息0.25个百分点,将基准联邦基金利率上调至1%—1.25%。此次加息彰显美联储鹰派论调,但也基本符合市场预期。黄金白银遭抛售短线下跌后反弹;其二、缩表,6月会议最大的看点莫过于美联储明确缩表这一大动作。整体而言,美联储缩表的决定令市场感到意外,而缩表力度却不及预期。此外,本周美国非农就业报告,北京时间周五(7month7Day) Evening8点半,美国非农数据将重磅来袭,黄金白银投资者将再迎投资盛宴。若数据与市场预期相差很大,势必带来大行情。另外,该数据也是美联储加息进程的重要参考指标,投资者需密切关注。
本周黄金行情走势分析
黄金从周线来看,周线的近期高点1294-1280,高点有所下降,多头趋势停滞,进入大区间1227-1280震荡,运行在一个收敛三角形区间,三角形的上轨是前期的下降趋势线1375-1338-1294-1280,下轨是1180-1195-1214的上升趋势线,目前价格即将触及三角形下轨,我们不能过分的看空;从日线来看,目前处于区间1258-1236的小区间震荡,现已震荡了12rootK线,上周五日线收阴,K线实体突破了小区间实体的低点1242.5,短期将可能继续下行,但是下行力度将不可能太大,因为从前期1296Down to1240以来,阳线在不断增多,多头力量持续加强,而且整月的ETF的持仓量是在小幅增持,可见多头并没有放弃,同时日线依然运行1180-1195-1214的上升趋势线上,不要过分看空;从4小时图来看,低点1242-1241, high point1257-1252.5,高点下降,低点小幅创新低的偏空头走势,但是从高低点来看,名慧认为多头的力量只是轻微弱于空头力量,本周可能轻微下探后走高;从一小时图来看,目前运行在区间1258-1240的底部,而且多头反弹无力,短期可能小幅下探,但是下探力度不会很大,本周下方关注1240、1230一线强支撑,上方压力关注1246、1260一线压力位,操作上名慧建议本周可以逢低买入。手上有套单的朋友也可以联析名慧,会尽力帮大家排解困难,避免造成更大亏损。
原油上周的走势比黄金温和得多,无论从日线还是短线看,几乎都是单边上涨的趋势,前周加速下跌,EIA助力加速破位探底42一线,基本上原油已到底了。上周三EIA数据利空,却不跌反涨,更加印证技术形态空头的离去,从周一到周五,原油悄然已上涨突破46大关,周五凌晨4个小时的冲击,与笔者当日的文章一致,看好新高,早间45做多最高获利1.2美金,破位45.6直接追多进去,周尾也能收获0.6Profit in US dollars.
原油从周线来看,周线收实体大阳线,在底部组成看涨吞没的K线形态,本周有望继续走高,从日线级别来讲,已经连续8天收阳,周四的十字星不禁起到了启明星之用,同时周五收光头大阳线,呈现明显的V型反转,各均线多头上行,MA5AndMA10金叉向上,本周有望进一步走高;短线级别4小时来看,连续收取两根实体大阳,直接导致各均线反转向上运行,上方暂无压制,但猛烈的上涨还需谨防突然的回调,不建议追多操作;本周下方重点关注45.5-45.8Frontline support, attention from above47美元一线压力位,小回调多为主。手中有套原油空单的朋友及时私聊笔者,根据今日实时波动解套!
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1、45.7-45.9Long, stop loss0.4, Objective46.6-47;
2、46.8-47轻仓空,止损0.4, Objective46.2-46;
silver
白银日图国际白银收盘16.6dollar/盎司,国际白银承压日图MA21均线下方运行空头趋势,整体的波幅处于低位震荡,短期先看区间17-16.25USD,MA5AndMA10形成金叉上扬运行趋势,日图附图指标MACD蓝色下跌的动能逐渐不足,RSI指标拐头下探运行空头趋势,周线图来看,MA5AndMA10粘合形成死叉向下发散运行空头趋势,K线排列形成空头趋势,周线图附图指标MACD蓝色下跌的动能逐渐不足,RSI指标企稳走平运行趋势,周线收线下引线较长的阴柱,整体的趋势依然偏跌,名慧觉得白银周内关注区间17-16.25High selling and low slag operation.