Crossing the Sea 2017year 6month29day (貴金屬)

Crossing the Sea

2017

year

6

month

29

day

XAU Londongold - 金价持坚，因美元和股市下滑

金价近日走势持稳，因美元兑其他货币疲软，市场押注欧洲各央行正准备削减货币刺激措施，但金价涨幅受制于股市大幅上涨之势。美元指数周四跌至去年10月初以来最低水平。美元疲软使得以美元计价的黄金价格相对于其他货币持有者而言变得比较便宜，可增加黄金需求。欧洲央行总裁德拉吉和英国央行总裁卡尼先后发布的强硬言论，引发了对于欧洲范围内货币政策将收紧的预期；而加拿大央行两位高官的表态，也提升了该国下月加息的可能性。

图表走势所见，若果以自去年12月份的累积涨幅计算，38.2%and50%的回调水平分别为1230and1209Horizontal, extended to61.8%Then it is1188水平。其他支持可参考200Balance moving average1237水平。另外，亦要特别留意5Monthly low1213水平，若然后市跌破此位置，形态上有机会以双顶破颈线继续滑落。上方阻力则预料为25Balance moving average1262，较大阻力见于及1272and1290Horizontal.

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
5month30Day - 847.45ton
5month31Day - 847.45ton
6month1Day - 847.45ton
6month2Day - 851.00ton
6month5Day - 851.00ton
6month6Day - 855.16ton
6month7Day - 864.93ton
6month8Day - 867.00ton
6month9Day - 867.00ton
6month12Day - 867.00ton
6month13Day - 867.00ton
6month14Day - 854.87ton
6month15Day - 853.68ton
6month16Day - 853.68ton
6month19Day - 853.68ton
6month20Day - 853.68ton
6month21Day - 853.68ton
6month22Day - 853.98ton
6month23Day - 851.02ton
6month26Day - 853.68ton
6month27Day - 853.68ton

6Monthly goldfuturesDue date:6month28day
6Monthly goldoptionDue date:5month25day

Global Official Gold Reserve:
(Data source: World Gold Council(WGC), updated on2017year6month5day)

Global:33425.6 (+50.7ton)
U.S.A(1)：8133.5ton
Germany(2)：3377.3ton (-0.6ton)
IMF(3)：2814.0ton
Italy(4)：2451.8ton
France(5)：2435.9ton
China(6)：1842.6ton
Russia(7)：1687.3ton (+7.2ton)
Switzerland(8)：1040.0ton
Japan(9)：765.2ton
Netherlands(10)：612.5ton

European Central Bank(12)：504.8ton
britain(17)：310.3ton
Hong Kong(92)：2.1ton


XAG London Silver - 银价低位盘整

伦敦白银方面，图表所见，10天已跌破25天平均线，形成利淡交叉，需防范后市还会引发较大下调压力，延伸支撑可看至16.30and5月险守着的16美元关口，进一步将看至15.80美元。另一方面，向上阻力将参考25Balance moving average17.02and17.30美元，较大阻力料为250Balance moving average17.79USD.     
                                                                     

iShares Silver TrustSilver holdings:
6month5Day - 10562.91ton
6month6Day - 10562.91ton
6month7Day - 10562.91ton
6month8Day - 10562.91ton
6month9Day - 10562.91ton
6month12Day - 10562.91ton
6month13Day - 10562.91ton
6month14Day - 10562.91ton
6month15Day - 10457.00ton
6month16Day - 10457.00ton
6month19Day - 10457.00ton
6month20Day - 10504.07ton
6month21Day - 10504.07ton
6month22Day - 10571.73ton
6month23Day - 10571.73ton
6month26Day - 10571.73ton
6month27Day - 10571.73ton




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Emperor Financial Group Zongheng Huihai Analysis Department
(The above column content is the author's personal professional opinions and is sincerely for readers' reference; I would like to remind readers that financial market volatility is unpredictable and they must be cautious of risks)