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9month12日重要数据公布:(9month12day)

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14:45 France8Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)Monthly rate final value•forecast+0.1%•Previous value-0.3%
14:45 France8Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)Annual rate final value•forecast+3.7%•Previous value+4.0%
17:00 eurozone7Monthly industrial production rate•forecast-0.2%•Previous value+0.0%
17:00 eurozone7Monthly industrial production annual rate•forecast-0.7%•Previous value-0.5%
20:30 U.S.A8Monthly retail sales rate•forecast+0.2%•Previous value-0.1%
20:30 U.S.A8Monthly deduction of automobile retail sales monthly rate•forecast-0.2%•Previous value+0.4%
20:30 U.S.A8Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)Monthly rate•forecast-0.5%•Previous value+1.2%
20:30 U.S.A8Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)the annual rate•Previous value+9.8%
20:30 U.S.A8The core of monthly deduction for food and energyPPIMonthly rate•forecast+0.2%•Previous value+0.7%
20:30 U.S.A8The core of monthly deduction for food and energyPPIthe annual rate•Previous value+3.5
21:55 Reuters America /university of michigan 9Initial value of monthly consumer confidence index•forecast64.0•Previous value63.0
22:00 U.S.A7Monthly enterprise inventory•forecast+0.5%•Previous value+0.7%  

9month11day
港金息率:低息60Hong Kong dollars
LondongoldMorning order price:742.75
London gold afternoon fixing price:740.75
London Silver Set Price:10.66

黄金伦敦收盘(23:15):740.60 / 741.80
黄金纽约收盘(03:15):743.45 / 745.05
   

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
614.35ton

NYMEX 12月期金:
开市价:747.50 - 收市价:745.50
最高价:754.50 - 最低价:740.30

U.S.A7月贸易逆差扩阔
美国劳工市场持续疲软,8month30日当周续请失业金人数增加12.210000 people to353Ten thousand, for2003year10月来的最高水平。7The monthly trade deficit has widened to2007year3月以来最阔水准622亿美元,因平均石油进口价格跳涨6.4%To each barrel124.66美元,石油进口量跳升15%to3.42Billion barrels, for2004year6月来最高水平。7月美国对中国贸易逆差扩大16.1%to249亿美元,仍略高于去年的纪录增幅。美国商务部表示7monthcrude oil进口额触及纪录高位514亿美元,将7月商品与服务进口总额推高3.9%至纪录高位2,303亿美元。不过劳工部近期公布的数据显示,石油进口价格8Lunar glide12.8%, recorded from2003year4月来的最大跌幅。尽管7月贸易逆差走阔,但亦可望在之后逐步收窄,故市场不太在意此次贸易数据。7月汽车和消费品进口略有下滑,而饮食饲料类和资本财进口则略微上升,暗示美国经济颓势遏制了市场对外国商品的需求。然而,金融市场交易商几乎对此忽略不计,将注意力集中在前路未卜的雷曼兄弟以及原油futures价格跌向每桶100美元上。美国股市上涨,主要stock market index升逾1.3%,之前报导称美国银行正就收购雷曼兄弟事宜进行商谈。

金融风险忧虑续见支撑美元

雷曼兄弟在稍早公布巨额亏损之后,加重了市场对金融业的忧虑,而其同时宣布计划出售部分资产的消息亦令投资者对其未来命运担忧不已,这一情况在周四愈演愈烈,继多家评等机构及券商相继调降其评级之后,市场对该行前景的忧虑益发沉重,拖累美股低开,而雷曼股价亦在盘初暴跌,随后有关多家金融机构欲收购雷曼的报导不绝于耳,最终华尔街日报报导称,美国银行正洽购雷曼兄弟。在此消息激励下,金融类股在最后时刻发力反弹,带领美股收高逾1%。华尔街日报还报导称,美国政府将安排出售雷曼的事宜,预计收购雷曼一事将在周末,约亚洲市场周一开盘前完成和宣布。.亦有消息人士称,多家金融公司对雷曼有意,至少一家打算整体收购。雷曼股价周四暴跌约42%newspaper4.22美元,盘后更是大跌约25%to3.20美元左右。有关金融业的忧虑不仅局限于雷曼相关消息之上,房利美及房贷美事件依然馀波未散,而美国头号储蓄和贷款银行华互银行股价周四一度跌穿2美元,因市场担心其无法筹措足够资本,弥补抵押贷款相关损失。美国储蓄管理局亦表示,正在密切监视该行的状况。而同日有消息人士指出,世界上最大的保险商美国国际集团持有5.5-6.0亿美元的双美优先股亦令投资者担忧不已,因双美被政府接管之后,市场人士担心其所发售的优先股价值可能消失殆尽。美元兑欧元和一篮子货币均触及一年高点,由于对全球经济增长的忧虑升温,美国投资者将海外投资汇回国内。美元指数升至去年9The highest in the month80.375,尾盘报80.175。欧元兑美元跌至1.3879of2007year9月低点,本月至今已下挫5.3%。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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