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昨日盘初,欧元/美元跟随欧元/日元交叉盘震荡下行,滑落至1.3782低点,随即获得支持,逐步上扬。随后汇价基本呈高位盘整走势。欧洲央行行长特里谢表示货币政策仍有适应性,而美联储主席伯南克对利率政策未予表态。受此影响,汇价最终突破周一高点1.3815, to1Month high1.3848,距离历史高点1.3853只有一步之遥,后维持在1.3820/40的区间盘整直至收盘。考虑到美联储可能大幅度降息,而欧洲央行至少按兵不动的姿态,看来利率优势正逐渐转向欧元一方,预计欧元/美元将蓄势上破历史高点1.3855位置。上方阻力位1.3855、1.3900、1.3950Downlink support is set to1.3770、1.3740、1.3685。

The expected fluctuation range today is:1.3770-1.3900。

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