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London Gold : 即市倾向出现技术反弹 △(9month11day)

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Focus:
•SPDR Gold Trust两日减近近26tongold
•目前黄金难当避险角色
金融市场恶化的局面愈加严重,市场风险厌恶情绪升温,许多国际投资者为避险而投资美元,抛售欧元等foreign exchange以至商品亦一概受压,黄金因而不再受避险资金的青睐。虽然周三公布之雷曼兄弟第三季度业绩强差人意,一度打压了美元,但对于欧盟经济衰退的预期却提振了美元的涨势, 欧盟在半年度经济预测报告中将欧元区今年的经济增长预期由4Monthly1.7%Down to1.3%,美元指数尾盘80关口。油价亦进一步逼近100美元关口,周四低位见至101.80,并拖累黄金价格。

两日黄金之大挫,至今进逼750The US dollar barrier.SPDR Gold Trust继周二减持10吨黄金后,周三亦进一步多减持16.85吨黄金,助燃过去两日近50美元之跌幅。技术分析而言,价格仍是处于平均线下方下行,RSIandSTC同样处于超卖区域,但RSI在周四图表上正有著背驰讯号,当然亦配合若果750可守稳,亦不失为一个理想之反弹平台,而价位可回升至760上方,更可望带动随机指数亦随之形成背驰,届时将见更大之回升倾向。预计重要阻力会在769and781美元。反之,若果750再而明确失陷,则不需再理会甚么背驰讯号,向下只需关注一个位置738水平,为,为引伸自06年至今之大型上升趋向线位置,若然此区亦无法力挽狂澜,看来金价其后之下试目标将大有机会直指700USD.

London Gold 9month11day
Predicting early wave amplitude:747 - 760
Support bit:735 - 726
Resistance level:769 - 781

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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