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9month3日重要数据公布:(9month3day)

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15:45 ItalyMarkit 8Monthly service industryPMI•forecast46.1•Previous value45.6
15:50 FranceCDAF 8Monthly service industryPMI•forecast48.5•Previous value47.5
15:55 Germany8Monthly service industryPMI•forecast50.6•Previous value53.1
16:00 eurozoneRBS 8Monthly service industryPMI•forecast48.2•Previous value48.3 ★
16:00 eurozoneRBS 8Monthly comprehensivePMI•forecast48.0•Previous value47.8
16:30 britainCIPS 8Monthly service industryPMI•forecast47.0•Previous value47.4 ★
17:00 欧元区第二季实质GDPSeasonal rate•forecast-0.2%•Previous value+0.7% ★★
17:00 欧元区第二季实质GDPthe annual rate•forecast+1.5%•Previous value+2.1% ★★
17:00 eurozone7Monthly retail sales rate•forecast+0.0%•Previous value-0.6% ★
17:00 eurozone7Monthly retail sales annual rate•forecast-2.1%•Previous value-3.1% ★
19:30 U.S.AChallenger 8Number of layoffs planned by the company per month•Previous value10.331ten thousand ★
21:00 加拿大央行利率决策★★
22:00 U.S.A7Monthly factory orders•forecast+1.0%•Previous value+1.7% ★★
22:35  美国能源数据协会(EIA)油品库存数据 ★★
预测:crude oilInventory increase1010000 barrels•Reduced gasoline inventory13010000 barrels•Increase in distillate oil inventory5010000 barrels

9month4day
02:00 The Brown Book of the Federal Reserve Board of the United States ★★

9month2day
港金息率:平息
LondongoldMorning order price:802.50
London gold afternoon fixing price:798.50
London Silver Set Price:13.18

黄金伦敦收盘(23:15):796.85 / 798.05
黄金纽约收盘(03:15):806.90 / 807.40
   

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
651.37ton

NYMEX 12月期金:
开市价:809.00 - 收市价:810.30
最高价:814.50 - 最低价:797.20


美元指数扩大涨幅因油价加速下跌

美元指数周二升见至逾10Month high78.31,因油价重挫促使市场预期全球通胀率下滑,且美国之外的其它国家将放宽货币政策。欧元兑美元跌至七个月低位,走低至1.45美元下方;英国经济前景愈发黯淡,外加美元全线涨势,将英镑兑美元推低至1.78下方,触及2006year4月来最低位。原油价格跌至每桶105.46美元,成为近日影响金融市场的主要因素。油价已从7月接近150美元的峰值累计下滑近30%,促使市场押注全球通胀率将在未来几个月下降,从而给予央行更大的降息空间。澳洲央行周二的降息行动令一些高收益货币承受部分压力。澳洲央行周二宣布降息25Bps to7%,这拉低澳元跌至一年低位。

褐皮书或描绘滞涨状况
今晚公布之褐皮书可能显示滞涨情况。美国近期公布的一连串数据良莠不齐,有迹象显示美国制造业出口需求稳定,崩盘的楼市接近触底;不过银行业久拖不决的问题以及消费支出疲弱仍旧牵绊经济增长。在能源方面,美国10月轻质原油futures价格的再次下滑令消费者和联储官员们暂时松了一口气,他们一直都对能源价格居高不下所引发的通胀压力扩散而忧虑不安。在褐皮书整理出来之前,各地区联储的报告均显示通胀压力上升。周三还将公布一周连锁店销售,抵押贷款市场活动以及8月汽车销售等其它数据。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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