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9month2日重要数据公布:(9month2day)

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12:30 Bank of Australia9Monthly interest rate resolution ★★
13:45 Switzerland8Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Monthly rate•forecast-0.1%•Previous value-0.4%
13:45 Switzerland8Monthly consumer price index(CPI)the annual rate•forecast+3.1%•Previous value+3.1% ★
13:45 Switzerland's Q2 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Seasonal rate•forecast+0.2%•Previous value+0.3% ★
13:45 Switzerland's Q2 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)the annual rate•forecast+2.4%•Previous value+3.0% ★
17:00 eurozone7Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)Monthly rate•forecast+1.3%•Previous value+0.9%
17:00 eurozone7Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)the annual rate•forecast+9.1•Previous value+8.0%
22:00 American Supply Management Association(ISM)8Monthly Manufacturing Index•forecast50.0•Previous value50.0 ★★
22:00 U.S.A7月营建支出•forecast-0.3%•Previous value-0.4% ★

9month1day
港金息率:平息
LondongoldMorning order price:832.00
London gold afternoon fixing price:822.25
London Silver Set Price:13.58

黄金伦敦收盘(23:15):817.15 / 818.75
   

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
651.37ton

NYMEX 市场休市

8月美元创16年最佳升幅
USD from7月底以来的迅猛涨势推动美元指数创下近16年来最佳月度表现,美元兑欧元录得欧元面世以来最大月度涨幅。美元长达一个月的涨势可能丧失动能,本周数据繁多,其中的失业报告可能显示8月就业人口萎缩。只有周五的就业报告意外利好,美元才可能接续上月凌厉升势。

关注本周五就业报告
上周美国公布的经济增长数据意外强劲,但似乎未会改变美国仍然深陷自1930年代大萧条以来最为严重的楼市低迷。然而,亚拉巴马州的Jefferson County正在与其贷款人协商,以力图避免寻求破产保护,否则该县将成为自加利福尼亚州Orange Countystay1994year12月破产以来最大的一个破产州县。这再次提醒人们,楼市引发的信贷危机影响仍在扩散,并将继续令联储忧心。上周四发布的数据显示美国经济第二季以3.3%的年率坚实成长,远比第一季强劲,引发市场乐观情绪。定于周三公布的美国经济状况褐皮书将透露联储9月会议信息,与更旧的国内生产总值(GDP)数据相比可能是更好的指引。另外,市场本周将慎重关注周五将发布的美国就业报告,并将研判该数据对美国联邦储备理事会(FED)下一个利率决定意味著什么。联储很少在失业率上升之际升息。美国月度就业报告是全球瞩目的经济数据之一,据路透调查的分析师预估中值,分析师预期8月就业人口料减少7.5万人,失业率则料持平于7月触及的四年高点5.7%。在美国就业报告公布之前,本周还将有欧洲央行(ECB)和英国央行的利率决定,和联储处境类似,他们也被成长放缓和物价上涨左右夹击。市场广泛预期两家央行在周四宣布决定时均将维持利率不变。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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