euro : (9month1day)

欧盟统计局公布8Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)Initial value increased compared to the same period last year3.8%Below7Month is4.0%的创纪录水准，亦低于预估的3.9%。另外，欧盟执委会的一项月度调查显示，8月消费者对通胀的预期从7Of30lower22，低于长期均值23。此外，欧元区7The monthly unemployment rate is7.3%，符合预估；6月失业率亦为7.3%。欧盟执委会公布欧元区8月经济景气指数降为88.8, estimated to be89.1，7Monthly correction to89.5。8月企业景气指数跌至三年低位负0.33, creating2005year6月以来的最低水准，当时曾触及负0.41的低位，2008year7Negative after monthly correction0.20，预估8月该指数为负0.30。

波浪理论分析，欧元仍运行大型第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(4)Stretching within the waves(c)浪。欧元在06year10month13Low position1.2483开始大型第(V)Within the waves5Waves. from1.2483to06year12month4Daily high1.3367为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(1)Stretching waves,1.3367to07year6month12Daily low1.3262为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(2)Stretching waves,1.3262to08year4month22Daily high1.6018为第第(3)Stretching waves,1.6018to08year6month13Daily low1.5302为第(4)Stretching within the waves(a)Waves,1.5302to7month15Daily high1.6037为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(4)Stretching within the waves(b)Waves. from1.6037至现在仍为第(4)Stretching within the waves(c)浪。在现水平欧元有机会在1.45-1.46水平或要进一步下试1.43水平方完结第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(4)Stretching within the waves(c)浪，故在8month26Daily low1.4570不排除为第(4)Stretching within the waves(c)浪底部。由1.4570开始有机会为第(V)Within the waves5Within the waves(5)伸延浪，但无论如何，欧元在现水平将有机会出现反弹。

图表分析所见，MACD已穿越讯号线，有著诱发逆转颓势之迹象；而RSIandSTC指标亦持续著止跌回升之步伐中，5Tianhe10天平均线亦已呈现初步利好交叉，因此欧元目前处于是待变中酝酿上升动能。较近阻力预计会先见于1.48关口，较大阻力则为近期受制的1.49关口，只要可跨过此区看来欧元已有摆脱弱势之初步讯号。再而上方阻力区域为1.50to250Balance moving average1.5050水平，欧元自8month11Daily drop below250天平均线后，亦见欧元持续在此区下方盘整，因此估计后市至少要回升至此区才得以成功反底。倘若弱势见持续，支持区域预计见于1.46水平，下一级关键则可看至1.4500/10水平，为过去三周缓步下跌所促成之下降通道底部，进一步下探支探支撑则可参考20At the bottom of the Ripoleca channel1.4360Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)