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Jin Shenghongguang:6.13The golden range fluctuates and needs to be broken through, Crude oil bottoms out and rebounds frequently!

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  本周美联储会议即将来临,美联储在本周是否加息,成为了市场上本周的重点事件,美联储如果能在6月分成功加息,那么金价绝对会承压下行。但是由于英国进入了悬浮会议,政局动荡,给金价带来了一定的支撑。届时金价能下跌多少就要看英国的动荡局面给金价的支撑力度有多少了。


  ——gold早间行情分析:


  行情回顾,昨日黄金整体继续延续弱势空头,金价在亚盘夹断小幅上涨一波至1270一线,迅速回落至1265一线,欧盘美盘同样的走势,先小幅涨一波受阻1270一线最高点后迅速回落至起涨点,周初行情相对来讲不会太大,在经历了上周的大选后,行情在受阻前高迅速回落,一度跌至前强支撑位1264一线,本周美联储加息重头戏将再次来袭,届时金银市场将会迎来一场大行情!


  4小时图上,金价呈弱势运行在布林带下轨附近,布林带开口呈空头趋势运行,5日均下穿10日均线死叉运行,短线趋势上整体还是看金价破新低。小时图上看,金价运行在布林带下轨上方,布林带开口呈空头趋势,均线呈空头系统排列。上方压力关注中轨线1275,支撑关注1260关口;短期内预计在此区间内运行;因此操作上反弹空为主;


  今日黄金操作策略:反弹到1268-1270一线做空,止损默认,目标看1264-1260-1258frontline.


  ——crude oil早间行情分析:


  行情回顾,油价在上周收阳后形成双针探底之势,周一行情在经历上周的暴跌后,开始反弹修正,昨日亚欧盘期间走盘整路线,行情不大,美盘开盘后多头开始发力,涨至日内最到点46.7一线,后市回落修正站稳46美元一线,目前这波空头力量开始减缓,多头进一步开始蓄力。


  四小时图来看,昨破位5day10day20日均线粘合运行,受阻40Daily moving average46.5frontline,BOLL开口向下运行,价格破位中轨并站稳上方,KDJ指标向上发散运行,MACD快慢线向上发散运行,红色能量柱增量明显,整体来看,目前走势处在多空转换的一个阶段,多头稍稍占优,重点关注上方46.5First line position.


  综合来看,油价大跌后周初开始反弹回补缺口,但我们依然需关注这波多头的一个延续性,日线的下行通道已经明确,上周在跌至45.2一线最低点后,目前有到底的趋势,但这一波反弹依然不能作为反转来看待,减产协议在上前两周的大势所去后,油价一发不可收拾,跌跌不休,当然在这个事件没能有效解决前油价不会有大幅反弹的一个可能,但我们从另外一个角度来看,各大产油国也不会让油价一直跌下来,一定会想尽办法去提高油价,保证自己国家的正常运行,所以在接下来的一段时间里会出现一些大大小小的消息出来,油价会乘势反弹,周四的非农虽对油价影响不会太大,单至少是一个契机,我们需重点关注。


  今日原油操作策略:45.9Long nearby, stop loss45.4, look at the goal46.7, break through and continue to watch47.3.


Technology is not omnipotent. Without technology, everything is impossible. While investment and profitability are important, technological methods are not the most important. The most important thing is philosophy, discipline, and mindset. Technical methods are easy to learn, but changing concepts, discipline, and mindset is very difficult. This requires you to personally feel the pulse of the market and engage in a human struggle with the market.


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Wen/Jin Shenghongguang, a Chief Analyst specializing in Investment and Wealth Management-Willing to travel with you.
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