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AUD : 收复0.86走势趋稳 △(8month28day)

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Focus:
•美元暂歇和商品价格走坚提供澳元支撑
•降息预期及信贷市场困境令澳元涨幅受限
•阻力参考0.8670•0.8800•0.9000
•支撑参考0.8500*•0.8360

澳元兑美元周三反弹,脱离11个月低位,因美元暂停近期的大涨之势,且商品价格走坚亦为澳元提供支撑。gold及其他金属价格追随油价走强,澳洲是一个自然资源出口大国,近几周来澳元遭遇大幅抛售,因投资者解除一度广受追捧的美元空头及商品多头。

图表走势所见,澳元能重新收复0.86关口,有助止住疲弱趋向,但向上作以10天平均线为下一参考阻力,目前处于0.8670水平。另外,澳元近期回升亦见在0.88关口附近受阻,因此目前走势只可视为盘整格局,未能进一步明确冲破0.88关口,澳元仍有机会再而展开下试行情。至于下方瞩目支持将为0.85水平附近,于周二轻破后仍可勉力回稳,但若然再次造访似乎则更为确认另一轮弱势之展现,下一级支持可关注20At the bottom of the Ripoleca channel0.8360Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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