pound : (8month25day)

英镑方面，上周之英国央行8月货币会议记录显示，货币政策委员会(MPC)在英国利率走向方面存在三种不同的意见。一系列表现糟糕的英国房市、零售及服务业数据，加上英国央行断言，通胀率将在两年内回落至目标水准下方，令市场益发预期，英国利率或将在年内被调降。会议记录显示，有一名MPC委员投票要升息，另有一人投票要求降息，但剩馀的七人决定维持利率于5.0%不变。周五数据则显示英国第二季国内生产总值季率修正值为持平，初值为增长0.2%，原先市场预期为增长0.1%。数据加强了英国衰退的机会，从而令英镑再次承压。

波浪理论分析，英镑仍运行大型回吐(A)Within the waves(III)浪。英镑自2001year6Monthly low1.3678开始便开始长期大型上升浪，由1.3678to2001year9月的高位1.4816为大型上升浪的第(I)Waves,1.4816to2002year1月的低位1.4038为大型上升浪的第(II)Waves,1.4038to2003year1月的高位1.6570为大型上升浪的第(III)Waves,1.6570to2003year4月的低位1.5458为大型上升浪的第(IV)Waves,1.5458to2003year6月的高位1.6904为大型上升浪的第(V)Within the waves(1)Waves,1.6904to2003year9月的低位1.5608为大型上升浪的第(V)Within the waves(2)Waves, and1.5608to2004year2月的高位1.9140为第(V)Within the waves(3)Waves,1.9140to2004year5月的低位1.7480为第(V)Within the waves(4)Within the waves(A)Waves,1.7480to2004year12月的高位1.9548为第(V)Within the waves(4)Within the waves(B)Waves,1.9548to05year11month28Daily low1.7046为第(V)Within the waves(4)Within the waves(C)浪，亦代表第(V)Within the waves(4)浪在此完结。由1.7046to06year1month25Daily high1.7934为第(V)Within the waves(5)Within the waves1伸延中浪，1.7934to06year3month13The low point of the day1.7229为第(V)Within the waves(5)Within the waves2伸延中浪，1.7229to07year5month17Daily high1.9025为第(V)Within the waves(5)Within the waves3伸延中浪，1.9025to06year6month29Daily low1.8088为第(V)Within the waves(5)Within the waves4伸延中浪，1.8088to07year9month11Daily high2.1160为第(V)Within the waves(5)Within the waves5伸延中浪，即整个大型上升浪的第(V)浪亦在此完结。而由2.1160开始至现在为大型A浪，即由2.1160to2month20Daily low1.9361为大型AWithin the waves(I)Waves.2.1160to3month13Daily high2.0397为大型AWithin the waves(II)Within the waves(a)Waves,2.0397to5month14Daily low1.9362为大型AWithin the waves(II)Within the waves(b)Waves,1.9362to7month15Daily high2.0152为大型AWithin the waves(II)Within the waves(c)浪，亦代表大型AWithin the waves(II)浪在此完结。而2.0152开始至现在为大型AWithin the waves(III)浪，预料此大型AWithin the waves(III)浪将下跌至1.80Horizontal.

英镑上最高回升至1.88水平，周五未能进一步突破10天平均线之下出现明显回挫，更而跌破前一周之低位至1.8503。英镑短期仍处于疲弱走势当中，目前5Days and10The moving averages of the scales are located at1.8650and1.8735水平，至于另一参考阻力则要留意1.90关口。预估下方较近支持先为1.85水平，再而下一级支撑则估计为1.84水平；关键支持可留意1.92Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)