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今日重要数据公布:(8month20day)

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16:30 britain7Shortfall in monthly public sector revenue and expenditure(PSNCR)•预测盈馀100Billion•前值短差154.59Billion
16:30 britain7Monthly net borrowing from public sector(PSNB)•forecast-43Billion•Previous value91.64Billion
18:00 britain8Monthly Retail Alliance(CBI)Total industrial order difference•forecast-12.0•Previous value-8
20:30 Canada7Monthly leading indicators•forecast+0.1%•Previous value+0.0%
20:30 Canada6Monthly retail sales rate•forecast+0.4%•Previous value+0.4% ★
20:30 Canada6Monthly deduction of retail sales of automobiles•forecast+0.5%•Previous value+0.4% ★
22:35 美国能源数据协会(EIA)油品库存数据 ★★
预测:crude oilInventory increase8010000 barrels•Reduced gasoline inventory27010000 barrels•Increase in distillate oil inventory4010000 barrels

8month19day
港金息率:平息
LondongoldMorning order price:791.00
London gold afternoon fixing price:788.75
London Silver Set Price:13.01
黄金伦敦收盘(23:15):798.90 / 799.90
黄金纽约收盘(03:15):810.70 / 811.90
SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
651.37 (-7.66ton)
NYMEX 12月期金:
开市价:799.00 - 收市价:816.50
最高价:820.00 - 最低价:792.00

PPI数据影响温和
美国周二公布的数据显示,该国7月批发物价的年度增长步伐达到27年来最快,同时房屋营建商的活动下降,因仍有大量未售房屋堆积。上述数据未给美国联邦储备理事会(FED)带来安慰,联储原本希望经济放缓能令通胀降温,从而能够拖延升息。核心消费者物价指数(CPI)连续两个月上升,加上生产者物价指数(PPI)报告也令人不安,这让联储下次会议的利率决策变得困难。联储下次议息会议将于9month16日举行。美国劳工部周二公布美国7Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)Growth compared to last month1.2%,6Monthly increase1.8%;去除食品和能源的7Monthly CorePPIGrowth compared to last month0.7%,6Monthly rise0.2%,7Monthly CorePPI按月涨幅达到2006year11月以来的最高,PPI报告并暗示物价涨势正蔓延到食品和能源以外的部门。7monthPPI指数较去年同期跳涨9.8%, for1981year6月以来的最大涨幅。目前油价较7月中期的历史高位大幅回落,促使许多投资者认为通胀忧虑正在减退,许多分析师表示7OfPPI数据有可能是一段时间内表现最糟的。核心PPI指数大涨打压美国金融市场,美国stock market index受其影响跌逾1%。此外,商务部公布美国7月房屋开工年率降低11%,为逾17年来最低,营建许可年率挫跌17.7%。96.5万户的房屋开工年率略高于分析师预期的96万户,但仍创下1991year3The lowest since the beginning of the month.6月房屋开工年率上修后为增长10.4%, the previous value is growth9.1%。商务部公布作为衡量未来营建活动风向标的7月营建许可年率挫至93.7万户,远低于预计的97Ten thousand households, for3月以来最低。新屋销售报告当中的独栋房屋销售尤其疲软,7月独栋房屋销售年率为64.1万户,触及1991year1月以来最低,当时为60.4万户。营建许可为58.4Ten thousand households, for1982year52.3万户以来最低。

周二美元稍事喘息
美元周二连续第二日下滑,在近期大涨后遭遇一轮获利回吐,因油价上扬,且美股受金融业忧虑重燃而下挫。欧元兑美元攀升至1.4794, from1.4631的六个月低点反弹。美元一度因7monthPPI数据获得一些支撑,因该数据暗示美国联邦储备理事会(FED)将需要在年底前升息打压通膨,但因市场忧虑经济成长放缓可能束缚联储手脚,美元涨势消退。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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