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crude oil亚欧盘策略:
US crude oil:47.10-40轻仓做多,46.80Stop loss, target49.00nearby
英国原油:50.10-40轻仓做多,49.70Stop loss, target51.80nearby Fundamental analysis:
本周以来,美国钻井平台、美国和利比亚等国原油产量的增加,OPEC减产协议执行率的下降已经使得油价焦头烂额,而昨日沙特王国的王储萨尔曼发表讲话称:OPECAnd nonOPEC产油国的减产协议是前所未有的,油价最乐观为55dollar/Bucket, minimum of45dollar/桶。此言一出,市场一片哗然,投资者认为沙特可以接受45dollar/桶的油价,引发了油价短线的一波跳水行情。而后,在美国API原油库存数据的意外减产利好下,油价止跌。美国石油协会(API)Wednesday Beijing Time04:30According to published data, as of4month28Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory plummeted416Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease230Ten thousand barrels. Reduced gasoline inventory193Ten thousand barrels, expected to increase130万桶。美国上周原油进口减少30.710000 barrels/Solstice79010000 barrels/日。美国上周原油库存下降42010000 barrels to5.283Billion barrels.API原油库存降幅大于预期,且创2016年以来的最大降幅。投资者须注意今晚22:30Published in the United StatesEIA原油库存数据,将对行情有决定性影响。 Technical analysis:
In terms of comparative analysis, crude oil1小时图,布伦特原油为深红色,美原油为黑色。两油价格在震荡下跌过程中依然保持着走势的分化。从昨天晚上到今天凌晨,布伦特原油与美原油价格在下跌行情中重新出现了完全一致的走势,而后在原油库存数据的影响下小幅攀升还是保持一致步伐,从中我们可以看到,除去单边行情,其余时间两油走势均有序分化。预计这种情形在今天晚间的EIA原油库存数据的刺激下会回归一致走势。
crude oil30M微观上,原油价格仍然处于下降通道之中,通道的上沿49.30And the lower edge47.30是今天日内的重要参考位置。原油近期一路下跌,短期内空头还是占主导,临近47.00美元的大低,不建议轻易进场追空,谨慎观望为宜。今天日内的EIA原油库存将对油价起重要的指引,下破47.00美元,原油将展开新的大规模的跌势;而多头只有成功拿下49.30美元一线,才能转危为安。稳健者建议观望,激进者建议在47.00-40之间继续轻仓做多原油,耐心持有。 Important data of the Asia Europe disk:
time
data
Previous value
expect
15:55
Germany4Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment(%)
5.8
5.8
Germany4月季调后失业人数变动(ten thousand people)
-3.0
-1.1
17:00
欧元区第一季度季调后GDPAnnual rate initial value(%)
1.7
1.7
欧元区第一季度季调后GDPInitial value of quarterly rate(%)
0.5
0.5
(Saint Vincent and the Grenadines) Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Financial Supervisory Authority License: 22651。 Vanuatu Financial Regulation Number14664。 Ouli Group reminds you:foreign exchangeThe London Gold Exchange carries high risks, with high leverage seriously affecting your profits and losses. It is recommended not to take risks that you cannot afford.