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AUD : 维持挑战0.9650/60resistance △

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‧阻力参考0.9650/60‧0.9710‧0.9810
‧支撑参考0.9520‧0.9495‧0.9375
澳洲统计局周四公布澳洲5Products with seasonal adjustments during menstruation/服务贸易逆差为9.65亿澳元,高于预估的逆差9One billion.
澳元兑美元周三从一周低位回升,澳洲在周三早上公布强于预期的零售销售数据,投资者因此重又预期未来12个月料会升息。利率futures的走势反映出未来12个月升息的机率接近100%,高于数据公布前期货市场反映的70%的机率。澳洲统计局周三公布,澳洲5月经季节调整零售销售较上月增长0.7%,为六个月内的最大增幅,高于预估的上升0.2%。此外,商品价格坚挺亦支撑了澳元。
澳洲零售销售数据意外强劲,支撑澳元涨至0.9650,接近周一所及的25年高点。图表走势所见,预计澳元上试阻力为0.9710and0.9810水平,分别为20Zhou and50周保历通道顶部;较近之测试顶部则为0.9650/60水平。预计下方支持则见于25Balance moving average0.9520and50Balance moving average0.9495水平,留意回落此区下方,则见澳元再度陷入争持整固,下方重要支撑为100Balance moving average0.9375Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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