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London Gold(2month27day)

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周四金价大幅跳涨,因油价创新高后,股市暴跌,基金涌入商品市场。美股三大stock market index午后均大跌逾2.5%,因对经济衰退的忧虑因油价飙升而加重,提振了gold做为另类投资的吸引力。美国crude oilfutures创下每桶140.39美元新高,黄金作为对冲通膨的避险资产的吸引力也提升了。联储维持利率不变,且打压了快将升息的预期,令美元扩大跌势,对金市亦有所支撑。

图表走势所见,金价周四冲破平均线集结区域,冲上最高917.20美元,轻轻的碰过100天平均线,但亦于今早轻轻的稍作回吐至910水平附近。技术拆局,由于908水平为原先之关键阻力,昨日之突破一定程度上将金价之上升技术型态强化,故此基本较近支持位亦为以此为关注,并且以未有跌破此区作为金价强势持续之左证。反之,则金价跌破此区强势未为完整,下方再探支持位可至899.60and888水平。然而,平均线由聚合演变成向上扩散,有望是发挥较明显上扬势头之前奏,要真正演译出上行格局,尚有一关要闯,界线为921水平,此为楔型顶部,突破后延伸目标可看至933and941水平,留意金价在4月份之升势曾受阻于950Near the horizontal.
London Gold 6month27day
Predicting early wave amplitude:908 - 921
Support bit:899.6 - 888
Resistance level:933 - 941

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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