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澳元方面,從近月走勢所看,澳元於5month2日低見0.9273,升見至5month6day0.9506後,回挫至5month15日低探0.9289,至五月底六月初之時間,澳元力試0.9650阻力不遂,終引發近一輪拋壓下試至0.9325,上週澳元則見拾級回升。若澳元在0.95遇阻力回落,則要留意其會否下試至0.9300-50區間,因屆時將會築成頭肩頂,醞釀著再一次下陷之序幕。去年8月澳元低位曾觸及0.7672,橫跨今年1Monthly low0.8511,在圖表上建構成一道上升趨向線,延伸至目前形成支持於0.9320水平,並且交疊於100天平均線,因此,此區將視為澳元升勢持續與否之關鍵。總括而言,若後市澳元跌破0.93,即已失守大型上升趨向線及頭肩頂頸線,正式啟動新一輪下挫。以黃金比率計算,起步於1month22Daily low0.8511之升幅,其38.2%回吐幅度將可達至0.9220,50%Then it is0.9085。反之,澳元週初仍見穩企於0.95關口,則又是另一番景象,從2月至今0.95都成為走勢起伏之阻力與支撐,尤其2Month to4月此區多次阻撓澳元衝高,因此澳元此輪反彈可站上0.95關口,則才可望有動力再戰0.9650之大阻力;其後進一步上試阻力預計為0.9680and0.9740水平,分別為20週及50週保歷通道頂部。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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