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London Gold(6month20day)

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金价受到尼日利亚受袭令油价升涨所支撑,且对goldfutures的止损买盘把价格推向更高位,纽约早盘一度升见至908水平;但随着中国政府调高油价,促使市场对石油需求下滑之担忧,引发油价沽压,并带动金价回破900美元关口,今早跌见至896Horizontal.

金价昨日冲破25天平均线、突破三角型态,而今早之回落则刚好又回落此区上方,令金价之上升型态未为健全,强势能否进一步延续仍是一个悬念。回顾6month6日金价亦曾一度破位25天线,但翌日却回返下方,更在之后一轮急跌下挫至856水平,故不排除金价升不上反见衍生较大沽售压力。较近支撑预计为896and4Balance moving average892水平,亦即为上述提及之三角顶部及25天平均线位置,失守此区或见揭开新一组弱势,较大支撑则为885and877水平。目前上试阻力为911and919美元。另外,亦要留意100天平均线则位于915.50美元。预估金价可突破重重难关,维持破局之上试型态,则后续阻力可看至919and922美元。而今日另一个关键则为油价,慎防近日131to139区间出现破位将会带动金价之走向,尤其目前油价接近下方底部,小心进一步失守130心理关口,则或会对金价施加进一步沽压。
London Gold 6month20day
Predicting early wave amplitude:896 - 911
Support bit:892 – 885 - 877
Resistance level:919 - 922

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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