覃汐妍：4month5日高点上移有限，个股反弹谨慎参与后市分析

　　覃汐妍：4month5日高点上移有限，个股反弹谨慎参与后市分析
　　大盘指数及个股推荐分析
Recently, the overall market index has been continuously consolidating and consolidating, withstock market indexThe volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index has risen, and the Shanghai Composite Index is approaching2015Year-end stock market crash3.0The starting and falling points of the market are also close to the recognized cost zone of rescue funds. If the second quarter quickly rises, it is not ruled out that rescue funds will appropriately cash in chips to create selling pressure on the market. Last year, the Shanghai Composite Index3300The multiple obstacles encountered on the line also indicate that there is strong technical resistance in this area, making it difficult to stand up overnight. From the past in the marketAFrom the trend of stocks, the second quarter was clearly in a weak position throughout the year, mainly due to the high probability of an increase in the first quarter, which accumulated a certain amount of profit;Meanwhile, in the second quarter, there will be3There will be some pressure on market funds before and after the Qingming Festival, May Day, and Dragon Boat Festival holidays, and some funds will also cash in profits to avoid uncertain factors during the holiday period. except2006、2007、2009、2015Several bull markets every year, and2014After consecutive years of decline and bottoming out, the second quarter often experiences a decline or even consecutive gains3Root Moon Yin Line. This situation often occurs when the overall market trend is not very strong, and after experiencing a wave of upward trend before, it is easy to form a turning point downward in the second quarter. The most typical example is2010~2012For three consecutive years in the second quarter, the index has shown a decline, among which2011The largest annual decline, consecutive in the second quarter3Months of black income, cumulative decline22.85%;2011Year and2012The years have also fallen separately5.67%and1.65%Although the decline is not significant, the overall weakness is quite evident. This year's situation is somewhat similar to back then, especially2010Year and2011In the same year, both have experienced consecutive months of fluctuating rebound before, approaching the upper range pressure zone;At the same time, there is also a background of monetary policy tightening in terms of funding. Therefore, for the second quarterA股的走势，广大投资者还是要多留个心眼，特别是在连续拔高之后不可过度乐观，对于手中涨幅已大的个股应当注意逢高兑现盈利，控制好仓位。
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　　撰稿人：覃汐妍
　　2017.04.05