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London Gold(6month6day)

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Tocqueville资产管理公司高级执行董事John Hathaway表示,今年金价可能攀升至每盎司1,000美元上方的纪录新高,因围绕金融市场健康状况的担忧促使投资者远离高风险资产,激励他们买入gold。Hathaway在贵金属方面的投资达到15亿美元,他认为金融市场面临更多震荡。他称黄金的主要功能是作为一项金融资产投资选择,特别是在对银行业或汇市心存疑虑的时候。他认为金价拥有上涨空间。Hathaway称黄金上市交易基金(ETF)的推出帮助资金流向金市,因为ETF使得投资黄金更加便利。
金价周四又经历了一轮动荡的过山车行情,早盘一直高踞于875水准上方,午盘金价在趋空的市场氛围中持续承压,更一度低探至865水准,但消息面又再给予金市一轮冲击;周三联储主席贝南克一席话,令金价由890直挫至875水准;而周四则到欧洲央行行长特里谢出场了,怹发表了对抗通胀的强硬表态,使得汇率市场出现明显波动,黄金市场亦受到关联影响,自三周低位864.50美元快速抽升至接近880关口。经历本周风雨飘摇之岁月,金价尚见维持盘整格局。
预计目前黄金仍然处于修正阶段,如果金价能够站稳865to870区域,失守将见有机会下试850支撑位,甚至5month2Daily low845美元。反之,倘若金价可回破9Balance moving average885.60美元,则技术上有助推动金价上试50Balance moving average898美元,较近即市阻力预计在891and894美元;进一步上试阻力则可看至由1030.80美元起始之下降趋向线917.50美元,此区亦同时重迭于100天平均线位置。估计今晚就业数据将为黄金定下较明确之方向。美元指数至昨日最高触及73.870,而上一回在5月的反弹亦仅高见至73.895,同样见在74.00关口前未能突破。但由于今晚非农数据,或令美元走向最终立下重要基调,而金价可望从中寻求走势指引。
London Gold 6month6day
Predicting early wave amplitude:874.00 – 885.20
Support bit:869.00 – 859.00 – 846.00
Resistance level:891.00 – 894.00

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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