【冀慧莺】：非农前黄金承压，数据决定一切

【冀慧莺】：非农前gold承压，数据决定一切
　　
　　本周一开始实黄金一直处于弱势震荡，最低试探了一次1310dollar/Around ounces. This trend is more in line with the expected trend of this non agricultural week, as under the bearish expectations of the key non agricultural sector, the wait-and-see sentiment and selling fleeing sentiment in the gold market coexist. Unexpectedly, there were once again tense news from Ukraine and Iraq, snatching the spotlight from non agricultural expectations in the short term. According to reports, the ceasefire deadline in eastern Ukraine6month30After the expiration of the day, President Boroshenko7month1On the morning of the day, it was announced that the ceasefire would not be extended again, and the government army immediately resumed attacking armed elements. The increasingly complex tensions in Iraq affect the nerves of the global economic system, and the interests of multiple sects within Iraq have not yet been weighed. Whether the war will have a linkage effect with the Syrian crisis, Türkiye riots and other events, leading to instability and even out of control in the surrounding countries is also an issue that cannot be ignored. Ten years ago, in order to overthrow the anti American Saddam administration and bypass the United Nations to directly carry out military strikes on Iraq, the United States not only failed to control its stability, but also caused instability in internal conflicts in Iraq. Now Iraq is like a hot potato, and even the United States is unwilling to send infantry to participate again. However, Iraq is a major oil exporting country, and its internal turmoil will directly affect the global economy and gold prices.6month30On the early morning of the th, spot gold saw a pullback due to this, changing the weak and volatile trend that should have been maintained, and reaching the highest point1333.4The US dollar reached a new high.
　　
And tonight（7.3）The upcoming non farm data released by the US Department of Labor during the US market is undoubtedly the top priority of this week. For historical US employment data,6Published in the month5Monthly employment situation, including4The negative impact caused by large-scale tornado attacks in the United States at the end of the month, so the data performance is relatively good4The months vary greatly. Once natural risks pass,6The US labor force is expected to recover in January, so this employment data should only perform better rather than worse than the previous month. This has been announced since last nightADPThe data also shows that,28.1The announced value of ten thousand people is far from17.9The sum of the previous values of ten thousand people20Above the expected value of ten thousand people. The current non agricultural employment population may also be far above the existing pre and expected values.
　　
In terms of the trend of spot gold market, based on the above data and news analysis, the short-term focus before the evening data is1320-1325Narrow range fluctuations or early exit of expected market1320Support position. Before the message, you can1325Nearby operation of empty orders, strict stop loss1329Stop surplus1315If you are concerned about data anomalies, consider1320Reduce positions nearby; Strong Breakthrough1315Frontline rebound1318-20First line empty orders enter again, stop loss1323.8Look1313-1311一线；由于非农数据只能短期刺激即时性的行情，晚间低点笔者冀慧莺只看到1310-1306On the first line, there was a buying backlash due to concerns about the situation in the future market,1310-1306The frontline can arrange multiple orders in batches, see1318-1320-1325; In terms of spot silver, last night4200This is a great short selling opportunity, and friends who make it can hold it until the news is released4120First line, below4100Long, stop loss4160Look4180附近。当然具体的详细操作请以笔者冀慧莺即时喊单为准，冀慧莺大家交易愉快！