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聚财金鼎:3.23EIA利空油价再创新低,美原油走势分析

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   U.S.AWTIcrude oil5monthfuturesWednesday(3month22day)Closing down0.20USD, or0.41%Report48.04dollar/Bucket. Brent crude oil5Monthly futures closed lower on Wednesday0.32USD, or0.63%Report50.64dollar/桶。美国原油库存和产量双双攀升加重了市场对减产行动提振效果的担忧情绪,即使美元继续走低也未能帮助油价企稳反弹,布伦特原油盘中更是一度跌破50dollar/桶关口。美国WTICrude oil futures prices hit their lowest point during trading47.08dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit their lowest point in the session49.73dollar/Bucket.
   US Energy Information Administration(EIA)Wednesday(3month22day)公布的数据显示,上周美国原油库存增幅大于预期,汽油和精炼油库存下降。EIAAnnouncement, as of3month17During the current week, US crude oil inventories increased495.4Ten thousand barrels, market estimate for increase280.1万桶。同时美国中西部和东海岸地区原油库存均升至历史高位。EIAAfter the data was released, the US crude oil market experienced a short-term decline, and Brent crude oil prices have been declining since last year11For the first time since the beginning of the month, it has fallen below50dollar/桶。同时美国汽油期货延续跌势和取暖油期货也纷纷扩大跌幅。
   NYMEXMost active5monthWTI原油期货合约北京时间3month22day22:30-22:34五分钟内买卖盘面成交30448手,交易合约总价值超过14USD100mn
   利比亚国家石油公司(NOC)Wednesday(3month22day)表示,利比亚原油产量已经达到7010000 barrels/日,从本月初两大原油终端遭受武装袭击中得到恢复。
   尽管汽油库存和精炼油库存继续保持跌势,但美国原油库存录得大于预期,与此前API原油库存增幅 大于预期一致,且美国原油产量连续上涨至13The highest level in months.


美原油走势分析:
   昨日油价早盘受API利空影响,亚盘小幅震荡,欧盘扩大跌幅,果不其然,EIA延续API走势,最低触及47.03后反弹,收盘录得十字星。日线图上来看,布林带开口向下,K线运行于中轨与下轨之间,油价两次下探于47美元受到支撑,形成双针探底,日内关注48.6/49.0Resistance.

   技术面上来看,MACD指标绿色量能柱缩量,KDJ指标拟交金叉,三线向上发散。
   综合来看,日内操作上聚财金鼎建议回落做多为主!
美原油策略:
Fallback to48.0Multiple orders entering near the US dollar, stop loss0.5USD, target48.6USD, break through to see49.0dollar
亚商所燃料烃策略:
4750Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss50Point, target4830nearby


做单谨记三要素:
1Trend is king, follow the trend, and go against it is death.
2Gradually increasing positions with light entry can avoid losses from sudden market trends.
3Every transaction must have a strict stop loss, and do not arbitrarily amplify or not set a stop loss.
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