Swiss franc : (6month2day)

Think tanksKOF上周五公布，瑞士5monthKOFThe leading indicator is1.09，4月指标修正后为1.21, previous value is1.20。市场预估值从1.03to1.15不等，中值为1.09。数据显示在能源价格高涨和全球经济成长放缓之际，瑞士经济也在放缓。

波浪理论分析，瑞郎运行大型第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves4Stretching within the waves(c)浪。瑞郎在07year6month13Daily low1.2468开始运行大型的第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves3Extend the waves. from1.2468to3month17Daily high0.9644为大型的第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves3Stretching waves,0.9644至现在有机会为大型的第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves4伸延浪。而0.9644to08year5month8Daily low1.0626为第4Stretching within the waves(a)Waves,1.0626to5month23Daily high1.0214为第4Stretching within the waves(b)Waves,1.0214至现在有机会为第4Stretching within the waves(c)浪。预计此第4Stretching within the waves(c)浪将跌至1.10以下水平。

瑞郎走势方面，由于各地股市回稳，市场冒险意险提升，令瑞郎之避险价值缩减，由周初1.0230回跌至周五最低见至1.0527。图表所见，瑞郎上周高位恰好截停于起自3month17日之上升趋向线，并于其后出现回挫，目前关键则见于1.06Pass, at5月上旬时间而多次曾考验1.06之支持，估计一旦破位，将见瑞郎又一轮较大幅之下挫。估计较大20Top of the Ribao Lijia Channel1.0650水平，下级支持则为1.0730and1.0800水平。较近阻力则先留意10Balance moving average1.0355；由于已出现5Sky shattering10天平均线之利淡交叉，估计瑞郎本周未能突破10天平均线，短线走势将持续疲弱。玉于关键阻力位则仍在50Balance moving average position1.0250水平。预计本周瑞郎维持偏弱走势，波幅处于1.0250to1.08Horizontal.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )