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6month2日重要数据公布:(6month2day)

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13:45 瑞士第一季国内生产总值(GDP)Seasonal rate‧Previous value+1.0%
13:45 瑞士第一季国内生产总值(GDP)the annual rate‧Previous value+3.6%
15:30 Switzerland5Monthly Purchasing Managers Index(PMI)‧Previous value56.7
15:45 Italy5monthRBSmanufacturingPMI‧forecast48.4‧Previous value48.2
15:50 France5monthCDAFmanufacturingPMI‧forecast51.3‧Previous value51.1
15:55 Germany5Monthly manufacturing industryPMI‧forecast53.5‧Previous value53.6
16:00 eurozone5monthRBSmanufacturingPMI‧forecast50.5‧Previous value50.7
16:30 britain5monthCIPSmanufacturingPMI‧Previous value51.0
16:30 britain4巿消费者信贷‧Previous value12.37Billion
16:30 britain4Number of approved monthly mortgage loans‧Previous value6.4ten thousand
16:30 britain4Monthly mortgage loan amount‧Previous value69.3
22:00 U.S.A5Monthly Supply Management Association(ISM)manufacturingPMI‧forecast49.0‧Previous value48.6
22:00 U.S.A4月营建支出‧forecast-0.7%‧Previous value-1.1%

美元上周持续走稳上扬,很大程度上有赖于油价上周终出现回落,对数指标明显发挥其效应;由前周最高位135.09至上周五最低至124.67美元,继续在其通道内运行。而周中数据显示美国第一季国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率修正值为成长0.9%, the previous value is growth0.6%,经济成长要好于市场所预期,令美元进一步企稳。周五公布美国5月消费者信心挫至28年低位,因食品和燃料价格飊升打压信心,并推动长期通膨预期至逾10年来最高位;但与之相冲突的是,另有政府数据表明上月物价增幅放缓,这两项数据强化了美国联邦储备理事会在避免通膨预期成为现实上所面临的挑战。美元指数亦见在连日涨势后,于周五自高位73.217回吐至72.843。上周美元一路走高,并自2007year1月以来首次连续两个月上涨,仅在5月尾最后一个交易日呈现小幅获利回吐。近来因油价从纪录高位回落,加上美国政府数据显示通膨缓和,因而对美元的需求有所增加。不过,商务部公布美国4月个人所得较前月上升0.2%,符合预估;个人支出上升0.2%,亦与预估一致。4Monthly personal consumption expenditure(PCE)物价指数较上月成长0.2%, CorePCEPrice index growth0.1%。个人所得和支出数据与近期数据基调相符,反映出美元的底部正在形成,而市场短期的焦点仍在于油价上。市场本周另一关注焦点则为美国5月份之就要报告,将考验今次美元又能否维持其回升走势。

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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