Ace Elite Lecture Hall-人民币贬值如何理财？

Expert Analyst Lin Mengjia-beautifulcrude oil上涨对贵金属是利空还是利多？ 

通常来说，原油上涨不直接影响贵金属。只是原油和贵金属国际上都是用美元标价和结算的，如果美国发生一些情况，会同时对贵金属和原油造成影响。 
     另外，中东的不稳定因素，会造成原油和贵金属的一同上涨，因为中东是主要产油地，发生战争产油量会下降，油价上涨，而贵金属有很好避险保值作用，当有战争风险因素时，也会大幅上涨。 
一般情况下，原油价格的上涨，对于gold价格是种利好。因为原油价格上涨将带来通货膨胀的压力，而黄金作为防通胀的传统投资工具，会受到很多投资者的青睐。 
因为美国经济总量和原油消费量均列世界第一，油价波动会直接影响世界经济尤其是美国经济的发展，而美国经济走势直接影响美国资产质量的变化从而引起美元升跌，从而引起黄金价格的涨跌。 
据国际货币基金组织估算，油价每上涨5美元，将削减全球经济增长率约0.3个百分点，美国经济增长率则可能下降约0.4Percentage points. 
当油价连续飙升时，国际货币基金组织也随即调低未来经济增长的预期。油价已经成为全球经济的“晴雨表”，高油价也意味着经济增长不确定性增加以及通胀预期逐步升温，继而推升贵金属价格。
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