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成功霸金:美指持续下跌黄金多头延续,金银油操作策略。

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API数据分析:

American Petroleum Institute(API)Tuesday(3month21day)公布报告称,上周美国crude oil库存大幅增加,但汽油和精炼油库存减少。APIAnnouncement, as of3month17During the current week, US crude oil inventories increased452.9Ten thousand barrels, to5.336Billion barrels, analysts estimate an increase280Ten thousand barrels. Increase in inventory of Kuxin crude oil196.8万桶。此外,上周汽油库存减少493.4万桶,分析师预估为减少200万桶。上周精炼油库存减少83.3万桶,分析师预估为减少140万桶。美国上周原油日进口量增加61.5Ten thousand barrels, to790万桶。上周炼厂原油加工量增加22.410000 barrels/Day. stayAPI数据显示上周美国原油库存大幅增加后,油价盘后依然保持日内跌幅



OPEC减产导致意外结果美国页岩油产量恐井喷

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)减产将在未来35-45天影响墨西哥湾沿岸的原油供应,但减产无意中也增加了美国页岩油产商在信贷市场上的融资规模,从而将2011year-2013年资本支出的提振效果延迟至2018YearOPEC减产刺激了页岩油的生产活动,再加上2011year-2013年相关项目的资本支出开始展现出效果,2017year-2019年将出现美国历史上最大规模的新油田产量井喷现象。同时,这也将导致非OPEC原油产量增速在2018年创下纪录高位。



美国页岩油产量回升一直被视作OPEC减产行动的最大威胁,如果回升速度得以加快,减产行动对油价的提振效果恐将受限,甚至不排除出现减产各方分歧加大的结果。成功预计,85%的石油企业将在2017年增加支出。美国页岩油产量2018Annual growth is expected8010000 barrels/日,每个新的美国油井将贡献3000-4000bucket/日的增量生产。



成功认为,由于生产力的改善,页岩油生产商可以每桶50-55美元的价格水平下(U.S.AWTIcrude oil)improve20%的生产活动。不过,随着美国各个新油田项目投入生产,美国页岩油产量料将在未来数年内保持每年10010000 barrels/日的增速,恐将进一步加重全球油市的供应过剩问题。



goldMarket analysis:

周二黄金开盘1233.7dollar/盎司,收盘1243.7dollar/Ounces, highest touch1247.5dollar/Ounces, lowest dip1226.3dollar/盎司,黄金日线收得一根大阳线,亚盘黄金回撤走了一波空头,下探1226.3低点开始反弹,金价整体承压于小时10日均线附近,欧盘金价成功突破压力线,并依托其作为新低支撑震荡上行,空头步步削弱,美盘黄金多头强势逆袭,金价拉夫拉升,刷新日内高点并屡创新高,一度逼近1250关口,周三凌晨金价回落收于1240关口上方。日线级别布林带张口运行,K线运行于布林带上轨,MACD双线于零轴上方金叉运行,红色能量柱增量,KDJ三线持续向上发散,今日成功重点关注1250阻力位突破情况。



Analysis of Silver Market:

从四小时线图上看,白银价运行布林带上轨附近,MACD红色能量柱放量,运行在0轴上方;上方受阻于MA120Daily moving average17.64一线附近,下方受MA10Daily moving average17.4一线附近支撑。重点上方关注阻力位17.6一线破位情况,下方支撑位关注17.4-17.35一线附近,操作上成功建议以回落做多为主,可在17.3Going long nearby



Analysis of crude oil market:

原油从四小时图上看,K线运行在布林带下轨和中轨之间,MACD绿色能量柱放量,运行在0轴附近;上方受阻于MA20Daily moving average48.8一线附近;KDJ指标三线形成金叉逐渐朝上方运行;上方受阻于MA120Daily moving average50.1一线附近。上方关注阻力位48.8一线附近,下方支撑位关注47.2一线附近。成功建议反弹做空为主,可在48.6一线附近做空单,晚间EIA预测利空。



Golden Operation Strategy:

1Suggestions1255Short nearby, stop loss3Point, look at the target1249nearby

2Suggestions1242Long nearby, stop loss3Point, look at the target1250nearby



Silver operation strategy:

1Suggestions17.65Short nearby, stop loss0.2Point, look at the target17.4nearby

2Suggestions17.42Long nearby, stop loss0.2Point, look at the target17.6nearby



Suggestions for crude oil operation:     490338665

1、原油下方至47.2Long nearby, stop loss0.3, Objective48.1dollar

2、原油上方至48.6Short near the US dollar, stop loss0.3, Objective47.6dollar



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