Su Qianqin:3month21Crude oil cannot be high, but it cannot be low. Under the anxiety of long and short positions, where will it go?

Yesterday(3month21)The oil price has basically replicated the previous trend of several days, although there has been a rebound, it has finally fallen, and its upward trend is short-lived. In less than half a month, investors have continuously taken out bullish positions, resulting in a cumulative decline in oil prices10%。今日，国际crude oil价格周亚洲时段小幅上涨，因预期石油输出国组织(OPEC)牵头的减产以提振油市的行动可能延长，且有迹象表明强劲需求在缓解全球石油供应过剩局面。

Some experts believe that the current discussionOPECIt is still too early for the production reduction policy to ultimately achieve the preset goals, as the first quarter is usually the off-season for crude oil demand throughout the year, and the real show will be in the3end of the month4It starts at the beginning of the month. If it includes the United States andOPECThe general decline in crude oil inventories in countries including oil producing countries meansOPECThe policy will bear fruit. However, objectively speaking, from the current situation, crude oil is still in a weak position. Without other factors driving it, oil prices will temporarily remain at a low consolidation level. Focus on New York and the United States at the end of the trading day in the futureAPIChanges in crude oil inventory.

From a technical perspective, crude oil recorded a small bearish candlestick on the daily chart, with prices only stabilizing above the short-term moving average and short-term indicators crossing at a low level. After yesterday's rally, it is more inclined to continue to be bullish.4On an hourly basis, the price rebounded above the resistance of breaking the cyclical average, and now it is beginning to stabilize. Bollinger is experiencing a contraction, and the short-term indicators will turn downward. Therefore, it seems that the upward trend may not continue after a high level sideways trend. It is expected that there is not much upward space today, and it is believed that the main trend is still bearish. At present, there is no downward signal, and it cannot be ruled out that crude oil will continue to rise. Based on comprehensive analysis of the news, the author suggests maintaining high selling and low buying within the temporary range for the day.

Real trading strategy for crude oil in the future market:

　　1、49.3Short nearby, stop loss0.3USD, target48.2dollar;

　　2、48.0Long nearby, stop loss0.3USD, target49.0USD.

　　你能走多远，不在于你资金的多少，在于你的眼光，你的胸襟，你的胆识，才是你能多成功的重中之重，我不说能帮你打开多大的格局。路还是需要别人来领才能少一些坎坷的，自己独闯的道路必定是坎坷不断，这也就意味着我们更加要选对领路人。添加苏倩芩指导薇信群xly645，愿做您投资路上的领路人。

Wen/苏倩芩 2017/3/21