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London Gold(5month29day)

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Londongold周三收低,但金价缩减早盘的大部分跌幅,因油价从稍早下跌后转为上扬。欧洲盘时段,crude oil突然下挫拖累金价出现下挫,由900美元上方急速下挫一举跌破900The US dollar level has dropped to a minimum of888.90美元。当油价从稍早的大幅跌市中反弹至每桶131美元上方,黄金作为对冲通膨的作用增加,美国原油futures在早盘曾最低在每桶125.96美元交投。美国耐用品订单数据较预期强劲,美元上升,令黄金作为另类货币的吸引力亦为下降。随后原油的反弹再次令金价获得了动力,重回900Above the US dollar.
技术形态分析,金价周三曾一度跌穿900美元关口,仅在25天平均线寻获支撑,在关键指针前免于猛烈下挫之命运。自从金价于3Month falls below25天平均线后,则见金价之后明显承压于25天平均线下方,就算4月份轻微突破,亦见不足三日归位回落,而今趟金价升越25天平均线后,亦伸延有近40美元升幅,在935.30美元见顶后,周三又回落至25在线;换句话说,在25天平均线正备受考验际,倘若回破此区将又见金价进一步之下调压力。以此段五月份之升幅计算,50%回吐看至891Horizontal,61.8%Then it is880.70美元。另外,亦见一短期上升趋向线位于880水平,因此估计此区出现失守,将促进更大幅度之跌势。预计下一级关键将指向5月中旬之低位860水平。而周三已提及各项指标指示着软疲弱之景致,4Days and9天平均线目前分别处于908.30and914.60美元,已形成利淡交叉;MACD指标见顶回落,RSIfall drastically50水准,STC于接近超买区间边缘掉头回落。即市较近阻力预计为4Balance moving average908.30美元,只要金价未能回破9Balance moving average914.60美元,则可望金价仍处于较疲弱态势。而下方金价再下一城之关键25天平均线目前则位于889Horizontal.
London Gold 5month29day
Predicting early wave amplitude:899 – 905
Support bit:889 – 879
Resistance level:911 – 921

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )
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