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盈婉茹周三大盘走势分析:沪深两只交替走强,短线洗盘行情无需担心

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  盈婉茹周三大盘走势分析:沪深两只交替走强,短线洗盘行情无需担心

  周三沪指虽然站上了20日均线,但是成交量没有放大,且较昨日略有萎缩,深成指特别是中小创的成交量倒是有一定放大,但指数处在调整当中——在相对高位调整时放量不是好事。不过深成指包括中小创短线形态均维持上升趋势,目前看调整属于市场对前期获利的回吐,属于上涨行情中的正常现象。因此对深成指的调整,也无需过多忧虑。近年来,我威信:js6486The investment focus has shifted. We don't want to buy the worst furniture at the cheapest price, what we want is to buy the best furniture at a reasonable price.

  短线无需作出买卖策略,那么我们从更长的周期来观察沪深两市:现在沪指处于周线级别的上升通道中,从去年2月在2638点形成双底开始,上涨幅度约23%。而深成指现在刚刚走出去年12月下旬以来形成的底部区域,从去年2月到现在,共上涨约17%。相比之下,沪指涨幅明显偏大。最近两周,沪指调整之时,深成指表现明显强于沪指,这就导致市场上有部分观点认为A股可能由过去的沪强深弱转换为深强沪弱,后期主要是深成指去追赶沪指的涨幅。

  对此,笔者的看法是,当前沪指走势稳健,趋势明确。根据道氏理论,中长期趋势一旦形成,就不会轻易改变。而趋势反作用于投资人的心理预期,所以人们都买进上涨趋势的股票,卖出下跌趋势的股票,这就进一步维护和推动了趋势。同时,今年国家的宏观政策更有利于蓝筹股企业,因此从中线看,看不出沪指后期走弱的迹象。反观深成指,近期上涨力度确实比沪指强,但它前期杀跌的力度同样强于沪指,因此我们只能说深成指波动性强于沪指,而不能据此判断沪深两市中期走势会出现强弱互换。

  因此对中期走势而言,笔者认为深沪两指还会保持强弱交替走势格局,整体还是向上发展。投资者继续等待上涨机会到来,无需担心短线洗盘。个股方面笔者建议关注:002430as well as603027

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