yen : (5month26day)

日圆方面，上周整体在区间持稳。现阶段日圆似有机会在102.72反弹完成，并开始回复跌势，因上周的反弹未能突破5month12最高的102.55，故不排除在102.70以双顶来结束今次的反弹。若确认反弹完结，日圆则在本周有机会回试105.40附近水平。波浪理论分析，日圆仍运行大型CWithin the waves(3)Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(ii)伸延小浪。日圆在3month17Daily high95.70开始运行大型C浪，由95.70to3month25Daily low101.03为大型CWithin the waves(1)Waves,101.03to4month10Daily high100.02为大型CWithin the waves(2)浪。而100.02to5month2The low point of the day105.68为大型CWithin the waves(3)Within the waves1Stretching waves,105.68to5month12Daily high102.56为第(3)Within the waves2伸延浪。102.56to5month14Daily low105.43有机会为第(3)Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(i)伸延小浪,and105.43至现在有机会为第(3)Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(ii)伸延小浪。若升破5month12Daily high102.56，第(ii)伸延小浪将就快完结。随之而来，日圆将运行第(3)Within the waves3Stretching within the waves(iii)伸延小浪，预料此第(iii)伸延小浪将下跌至108以下水平。

图表指针所见，日圆上周已同时冲破三角型态及信道底部，技术上有望延伸较强升幅。倘若日圆即日仍可企稳于103.50Below,gold比率计算，38.2%之回弹目标可看至101.90，50%更可看至100.70水平。另外，亦见50天平均线之参考位置为102.50水平。支持位则分别以5Balance moving average103.65及其突破通道104为较近支撑；关键支撑位仍处于106Gateway.

(Analysis provided by Zongheng Huihai Research Department | www.MW801.com )